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with mortality rates dropping from 80&#37; in the first year to approximately 20&#37; in most studies on a five year follow up&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0275"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">6</span></a> However&#44; end-stage kidney disease and short-term mortality within one year after diagnosis remain important issues to address&#44; particularly in those who present with rapidly progressive glomerulonephritis and alveolar hemorrhage&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0280"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span></a></p><p id="par0025" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Predictors of clinical outcomes in AAV have paramount importance in determining which patients may benefit from more aggressive immunosuppressive therapy&#46; Therefore&#44; genetic&#44; histopathological and clinical predictors have been researched&#44; although validation in multicenter randomized controlled trials of these predictors remains scarce&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0285"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">8&#8211;10</span></a></p><p id="par0030" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio &#40;NLR&#41; is a biomarker of systemic inflammation which has shown prognostic ability in multiple clinical settings&#44; namely in progression of chronic kidney disease&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0300"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">11</span></a> acute kidney injury&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0305"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">12</span></a> cancer patients<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0310"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span></a> and in renal transplantation&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0315"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">14</span></a> Whether the same prognostic ability can be extended to AAV remains unknown&#46;</p><p id="par0035" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic ability of the NLR at admission in patients presenting with de novo AAV for development of severe infection and mortality within the first year&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0010" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0070">Materials and methods</span><span id="sec0015" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0075">Study design</span><p id="par0040" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We conducted a retrospective analysis of the clinical records of all adult patients with AAV admitted to the Nephrology and Renal Transplantation Department of Centro Hospitalar Universit&#225;rio Lisboa Norte from January 2006 to December 2019&#46;</p><p id="par0045" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The study was approved by the Ethical Committee at the Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Norte&#44; EPE&#44; in agreement with institutional guidelines&#46; Informed consent was waived by the Ethical Committee due to the retrospective and non-interventional nature of the study&#46;</p><p id="par0050" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Inclusion criteria included&#58; All patients aged 18 or older who were admitted to the Nephrology Ward of the Department of Nephrology and Renal Transplantation of Centro Hospitalar Universit&#225;rio Lisboa Norte from January 2006 to December 2019 and diagnosed with de novo AAV presenting as rapidly progressive renal failure were eligible for this study&#46;</p><p id="par0055" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Exclusion criteria included&#58; CKD patients already on renal replacement therapy&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0020" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0080">Variables</span><p id="par0060" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">All variables were collected from electronic and hand-written patient clinical records&#46; All scores and formulas were calculated based on raw clinical data&#46;</p><p id="par0065" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The analyzed variables included demographic characteristics &#40;age&#44; gender&#44; and ethnicity&#41;&#44; laboratory values at admission &#40;serum hemoglobin &#40;Hb&#41;&#44; neutrophil count&#44; lymphocyte count&#44; serum creatinine &#40;SCr&#41;&#44; erythrocyte sedimentation rate &#40;ESR&#41; and C-reactive protein &#40;CRP&#41;&#44; ANCA serology&#41;&#44; clinical characteristics at presentation &#40;pulmonary hemorrhage&#44; rapidly progressive renal failure&#41;&#44; Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0320"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">15</span></a> need of renal replacement therapy&#44; plasmapheresis&#44; induction and maintenance immunosuppression used&#44; SCr at discharge&#46; NLR was calculated at admission as neutrophil count&#47;lymphocyte count&#46;</p><p id="par0070" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Renal function recovery at discharge&#44; leucopenia and severe infection at 3 months&#44; and one-year mortality were the outcomes assessed&#46;</p><p id="par0075" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Severe infection was defined as life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection <a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0325"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">16</span></a> or any infection requiring hospitalization according to clinician&#39;s judgment&#46;</p><p id="par0080" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Renal function recovery was defined as improvement of AKI stage&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0330"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">17</span></a></p></span><span id="sec0025" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0085">Statistical analysis</span><p id="par0085" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Continuous variables were presented as the mean<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>standard deviation and categorical variables as the total number and percentage of cases for each category&#46; The normality of the distribution was assessed using the Kolmogorov&#8211;Smirnov test&#46; Variables were compared using Student&#39;s <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">t</span>-test for normally distributed continuous variables and chi square test for categorical variables&#46;</p><p id="par0090" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Firstly&#44; all variables underwent univariate analysis to determine statistically significant factors that may have contributed to leucopenia&#44; severe infection and mortality&#46; Only variables which significantly differed between groups were used in the multivariate analysis using the Cox logistic regression method&#46; Data were expressed as Odds ratios &#40;OR&#41; with 95&#37; confidence intervals &#40;95&#37;CI&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0095" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The prognostic ability of the NLR was determined using the receiver operating characteristic &#40;ROC&#41; curve&#46; A cut-off value was defined as that with the highest validity&#46;</p><p id="par0100" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">No sensitivity analyses were carried out&#46; Multicollinearity was accounted for&#46; Statistical significance was defined at a <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span>-value &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span>&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;05&#46; Analyses were performed with the statistical software package SPSS 21&#46;0 for Windows&#46;</p></span></span><span id="sec0030" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0090">Results</span><p id="par0105" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We registered 45 cases of AAV&#46; The mean age at diagnosis was 67&#46;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>12&#46;1 years&#44; 23 patients &#40;51&#46;1&#37;&#41; were male and the vast majority were Caucasian &#40;97&#46;8&#37;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>44&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0110" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Eighty percent of patients &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>36&#41; presented with rapidly progressive renal failure &#40;RPRF&#41;&#44; 25 patients &#40;55&#46;6&#37;&#41; required hemodialysis start&#44; and 13 patients &#40;28&#46;9&#37;&#41; presented alveolar hemorrhage&#46; The mean Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score &#40;BVAS&#41; at presentation was 26&#46;0<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>10&#46;4&#46;</p><p id="par0115" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">At admission&#44; mean serum creatinine &#40;SCr&#41; was 4&#46;92<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>2&#46;52<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mg&#47;dL&#44; hemoglobin was 9&#46;57<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>1&#46;72<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>g&#47;dL&#44; NLR was 8&#46;54<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>6&#46;83&#44; erythrocyte sedimentation rate &#40;ESR&#41; was 76&#46;90<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>33&#46;85<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mm&#47;h and C-reactive protein was 13&#46;2<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;8<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mg&#47;dL&#46; Twenty-nine patients &#40;64&#46;4&#37;&#41; were ANCA-MPO positive&#44; 7 patients &#40;15&#46;6&#37;&#41; ANCA-PR3 positive and 9 patients &#40;20&#37;&#41; were negative ANCA vasculitis&#46;</p><p id="par0120" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Concerning induction therapy&#44; 35 patients &#40;77&#46;8&#37;&#41; were treated with cyclophosphamide&#44; 35 patients &#40;77&#46;8&#37;&#41; with corticosteroid pulses&#44; eight patients &#40;17&#46;8&#37;&#41; with rituximab for induction therapy&#44; of which five were treated with both cyclophosphamide and rituximab&#46; One-third of patients &#40;33&#46;3&#37;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>15&#41; underwent plasmapheresis&#46;</p><span id="sec0035" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0095">Outcomes</span><p id="par0125" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Most patients recovered renal function at discharge &#40;66&#46;7&#37;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>30&#41;&#44; and the majority of patients continued maintenance therapy after induction &#40;64&#46;4&#37;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>29&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0130" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">During the first three months after induction immunosuppression start&#44; 10 patients &#40;22&#46;2&#41; developed leucopenia&#44; 20 patients &#40;44&#46;4&#37;&#41; developed severe infection&#46;</p><p id="par0135" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Patients who developed severe infection within the first three months of induction immunossupression were older &#40;73&#46;6<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>10&#46;5 vs&#46; 62&#46;6<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>11&#46;3&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;002&#41;&#44; presented more often with alveolar hemorrhage &#40;45 vs&#46; 16&#37;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;033&#41; and higher NLR at admission &#40;11&#46;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>7&#46;4 vs&#46; 5&#46;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;0&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;002&#41;&#46; Fewer patients treated with rituximab as induction therapy developed severe infection &#40;5 vs&#46; 28&#37;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;045&#41;&#46; In a multivariate analysis&#44; older age &#40;adjusted OR 1&#46;08 &#91;95&#37; CI 1&#46;01&#8211;1&#46;16&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;035&#41; and higher NLR &#40;adjusted OR 1&#46;14 &#91;95&#37; CI 1&#46;01&#8211;1&#46;29&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;035&#41; were predictors of severe infection at 3 months&#46;</p><p id="par0140" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">On a one-year follow-up&#44; 20&#37; of patients &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>9&#41; died&#46; These patients were older &#40;76&#46;8<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>7&#46;0 vs&#46; 65&#46;2<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>12&#46;1&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;009&#59; unadjusted OR 1&#46;11 &#91;95&#37; CI 1&#46;02&#8211;1&#46;21&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;019&#41; and developed more often severe infection within 3 months of induction immunossupression &#40;77&#46;8 vs&#46; 36&#46;1&#37;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;024&#59; unadjusted OR 6&#46;19 &#91;95&#37; CI 1&#46;12&#8211;34&#46;32&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;037&#41;&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0040" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0100">NLR and severe infection</span><p id="par0145" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">A ROC curve was produced to evaluate the discriminative ability of the NL ratio for severe infection at 3 months after starting induction immunossupression&#46; The AUC for prediction of severe infection at 3 months was of 0&#46;0794 &#40;95&#37; CI 0&#46;647&#8211;0&#46;900&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;0001&#41; &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0005">Fig&#46; 1</a>&#41;&#46; The optimal cut-off was assessed to be &#8805;4&#46;04&#44; which has a sensitivity of 95&#37; and specificity of 52&#37;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="fig0005"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="par0150" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">This cut-off was also used to assess disease activity&#46; However&#44; there was no significant association between NLR &#8805;4&#46;04 and BVAS &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;647&#41;&#46;</p></span></span><span id="sec0045" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0105">Discussion</span><p id="par0155" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In this retrospective cohort&#44; we demonstrated that a higher NLR at admission was independently associated with development of severe infection within 3 months of starting induction therapy in AAV patients&#46; Additionally&#44; development of severe infection was associated with one-year mortality&#46;</p><p id="par0160" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The association of this marker with prognosis in this setting reinforces the role of inflammation in ANCA-vasculitis&#46; Although the events leading to vasculitis initiation remain unproven&#44; several hypothesis have been posed&#44; which highlight the role of genetic&#44; infectious and environmental factors in the pathogenesis of AAV&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0335"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">18</span></a></p><p id="par0165" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Inflammatory cytokines&#44; such as tumor necrosis factor &#945; and interleukin 1&#44; play a role through priming neutrophils&#44; inducing increased expression of ANCA antigens on their surfaces&#44; enabling ANCAs &#40;formed through prolonged exposure of antigens to the immune system or infection-induced molecular mimicry&#41; to bind them&#44; causing neutrophil activation&#46; Activated neutrophils alter the expression of cell surface adhesion molecules&#44; making possible the attachment to vascular endothelial cells and are responsible for releasing lytic enzymes from granules&#44; reactive oxygen species and neutrophil extracellular traps &#40;NETS&#41;&#44; thus provoking damage to the endothelial cells&#46; Moreover&#44; activated neutrophils release factors that activate the alternative complement pathway&#44; generating C5a which amplifies the inflammatory reaction&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0340"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">19&#8211;22</span></a></p><p id="par0170" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">NLR has been described in recent literature as a significant marker of inflammation and a useful predictor of the development of acute kidney injury in different settings&#44; namely in the emergency department&#44; sepsis-associated AKI&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0360"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">23&#44;24</span></a> contrast-induced AKI&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0370"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">25</span></a> after cardiovascular surgery <a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0375"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">26</span></a> and major abdominal surgery&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0380"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">27</span></a></p><p id="par0175" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Neutrophil counts are usually proportionally elevated to inflammation&#44; and activated neutrophils are associated with the pathogenesis of AAV&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0355"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">22</span></a> Also lymphocyte counts may be diminished in inflammatory states&#44; namely in active AAV in which lymphopenia results from extensive recruitment of peripheral T cells to the affected tissues&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0385"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">28&#44;29</span></a> Thus&#44; the NLR could hypothetically reflect the inflammatory load of AAV patients&#46;</p><p id="par0180" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Furthermore&#44; neutrophilia and lymphopenia can be a result of immunosuppression or a result of systemic infection developed during immunosuppressive treatment&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0395"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">30</span></a> Therefore&#44; to reduce bias the ratio should be calculated at disease presentation before any therapeutic measure takes place&#46;</p><p id="par0185" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Validation of this practical&#44; inexpensive and easily calculated biomarker has been explored in AAV patients&#44; with early studies suggesting a positive relation between the NLR and BVAS&#44; acute phase reactants and worse renal outcomes&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0400"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">31</span></a> Other studies&#44; however&#44; have shown conflicting results between the ratio and disease activity as well as extrarenal manifestations&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0405"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">32</span></a></p><p id="par0190" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Recently&#44; Ahn et al&#46; retrospectively analyzed 160 AAV patients and reported that an elevated NLR was correlated with vasculitis activity estimated by BVAS at diagnosis and predicted relapse during follow-up &#40;Patients having NLR &#8805;5&#46;9 exhibited severe AAV more frequently than those having NLR<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;9 at diagnosis &#40;relative 2&#46;189&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;023&#41;&#46;&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0410"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">33</span></a> In our study&#44; we have not confirmed this association&#46; Park et al&#46; also proposed a platelet to lymphocyte ratio &#40;PLR&#41; to predict AAV inflammatory burden&#44; in which a PLR &#8805;272&#46;0 was able to predict severe AAV at diagnosis&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0415"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">34</span></a></p><p id="par0195" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The assessment of clinical predictors of complications associated with the immunosuppressive treatment of AAV has been barely done&#46; On a literature review&#44; there have been no reports of NLR used as a predictor of severe infections in AAV patients&#46; Our study therefore reflects the importance of the NLR as an indirect and sensitive predictor of inflammation and outcomes in this setting&#46;</p><p id="par0200" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Although novel therapeutic options have been developed for patients with AAV&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0420"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">35&#44;36</span></a> long-term safety still composes a major concern&#44; specifically in terms of infectious complications and neoplasms&#44; since these therapeutics do not appear to significantly decrease the risk of developing such adverse events&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0430"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">37</span></a></p><p id="par0205" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In fact&#44; infections were responsible for hospitalization of more than 30&#37; of patients treated with immunosuppressive therapy on a five-year follow up and the leading cause of death in those patients&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0280"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">7&#44;38</span></a></p><p id="par0210" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Age over 65 years&#44; pulmonary involvement and the Five Factor Score &#40;FFS&#41; constitute baseline independent predictors of severe infection according to a retrospective analysis of five major randomized controlled trials &#40;RCTs&#41; of the French Vasculitis Study Group&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0440"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">39</span></a> A higher BVAS at diagnosis has also shown prognostic ability in assessing development of serious infection in AAV patients&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0445"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">40</span></a> Smoking status and baseline serum creatinine at diagnosis may also play a role as risk factors for infectious complications&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0450"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">41</span></a></p><p id="par0215" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Data regarding infectious complications related to treatment modalities and strategies remain controversial&#46; Although no therapeutic regimen was significantly associated with severe infection&#44; patients treated with corticosteroids and cyclophosphamide as induction therapy tended to have had more severe infections according to the French Vasculitis Study Group&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0440"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">39&#44;42</span></a> The role of rituximab has also been extensively studied in recent years&#44; with two major RCTs showing that serious infections rates were similar between rituximab and the groups including patients treated with iv cyclophosphamide&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0420"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">35&#44;36</span></a> Furthermore&#44; concerns regarding corticosteroids adverse effects have led to the development of steroid-sparing protocols with good results&#44; namely reduced risk of infectious complications and without an increase in progression to end-stage renal disease or mortality&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0460"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">43&#44;44</span></a></p><p id="par0220" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Therefore&#44; corticosteroids sparing regimens&#44; rituximab over cyclophosphamide or mixed protocols where cyclophosphamide is used in reduced cumulative doses are currently used and being developed to achieve a mainstay in therapeutic options&#44; providing the same efficacy achieved with previous regimens but at a reduced adverse events rate&#46; In our cohort&#44; no differences were found between treatment regimens and outcomes&#44; nevertheless the small sample may have resulted in these results&#46;</p><p id="par0225" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Mortality also remains an important issue in patients with AAV&#46; Despite important improvements after initiation of corticosteroids and cytotoxic therapy as noted above&#44; an important portion of patients with AAV still decease as a consequence of disease activity or more frequently as consequence of severe infection in the first year&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0470"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">45</span></a> On the long term&#44; cardiovascular disease&#44; malignancy and mortality account for the major causes of death in this population&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0280"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span></a></p><p id="par0230" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Age&#44; secondary infection&#44; initial renal function and pulmonary involvement of AAV act as independent predictors of mortality&#44; as reported in a retrospective study with almost 400 patients&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0475"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">46</span></a> Higher BVAS&#44; lower hemoglobin and higher white cell count at presentation were also described as negative outcome predictors in AAV patients&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0280"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span></a></p><p id="par0235" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Since early mortality plays an important role in this pathology&#44; identifying predictors of premature mortality may help in stratifying those who may be in need for intensive care unit &#40;ICU&#41; admission and more tailored therapy&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0480"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">47</span></a> Acute kidney injury&#44; smoking&#44; hemoptysis and respiratory failure were all predictors of ICU admission&#44; with those in need for blood transfusions and mechanical ventilation being at increased risk of early mortality&#44; within 28 days from admission&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0485"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">48</span></a> Although multiple clinical disease activity parameters significantly correlate with one-year mortality&#44; a high FFS and the occurrence of severe infection during the first month correlate better and constitute the most solid predictors of one-year mortality&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0490"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">49</span></a></p><p id="par0240" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In our study&#44; the NLR was a strong predictor of infection&#46; Indeed&#44; a NLR &#8805;4&#46;04 is associated with a significant risk of severe infection at 3 months&#46; More importantly&#44; assessment of this score emphasizes the low risk of developing severe infection in patients who have NLR &#60;4&#46;04&#44; which could guide therapy decision&#46; Nevertheless&#44; infection was not associated with mortality in the multivariate analysis&#44; which could be a result of the reduced number of patients in our population&#46; Therefore&#44; further studies are required to corroborate the NLR as a predictor of severe infection and mortality in AAV patients&#46;</p><p id="par0245" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We address some of the important limitations of this study&#46; Firstly&#44; the single-center nature of our study limits generalizability&#46; Secondly&#44; the retrospective design and the small cohort of patients could have contributed to disregarding some potential confounders with prognostic importance&#46; Thirdly&#44; the NLR was not age-adjusted&#44; which might have overestimated the importance of the ratio in older patients&#44; who are prone to exhibit a pro-inflammatory state&#46; Finally&#44; we did not discriminate infection source and did not address cause-specific mortality as well&#46;</p><p id="par0250" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Despite these limitations&#44; our study has several notable strengths&#46; To the best of our knowledge&#44; this is the one of the first studies evaluating the association between the NLR and prognosis in AAV patients&#46; We demonstrated the clinical significance of the NLR at diagnosis in estimating the prognosis of AAV patients&#46; Indeed&#44; the high specificity of the NLR reflects that a high ratio is predictive of severe infection within 3 months&#46; Also&#44; we provided an optimal cutoff of NLR to predict severe infection&#46;</p><p id="par0255" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We highlight the need for further understanding of AAV in order to identify at-risk patients&#44; guide immunossupression and ultimately improve patient outcomes&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0050" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0110">Conclusion</span><p id="par0260" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In conclusion&#44; we demonstrated that the NLR at admission was independently associated with development of severe infection within 3 months of starting induction therapy in AAV patients&#46; This ratio can be quickly assessed from a routine blood sample and can prove useful in identifying patients at risk of infection&#46; Recognizing high risk patients is crucial to guide immunosuppression and improve patient outcomes&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0060" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0115">Ethics approval and consent to participate</span><p id="par0265" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The study was approved by the Ethical Committee at the Centro Hospitalar Universit&#225;rio Lisboa Norte&#44; EPE&#44; in agreement with institutional guidelines&#46; Informed consent was waived by the Ethical Committee due to the retrospective and non-interventional nature of the study&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0065" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0120">Consent for publication</span><p id="par0270" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Not applicable&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0070" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0125">Availability of data and material</span><p id="par0275" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Please contact author for data requests&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0075" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0130">Funding</span><p id="par0280" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">No funding was received for this study&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0080" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0135">Authors&#8217; contributions</span><p id="par0285" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">JAF and JG made substantial contributions to the study concept and design&#44; analysis and interpretation of data&#44; and were involved in drafting the manuscript and revising it critically for important intellectual content&#46; JAF&#44; ID&#44; JG participated in the acquisition of data&#46; SJ and JAL were involved in the critical revision of the manuscript and approval of the final version to be submitted&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0085" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0140">Conflict of interests</span><p id="par0290" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">There is no conflict of interest&#46; The results presented in this paper have not been published previously in whole or part&#44; except in abstract format&#46;</p></span></span>"
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        "resumen" => "<span id="abst0005" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0010">Introduction</span><p id="spar0005" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis &#40;AAV&#41; is a multisystemic disease&#46; Despite the improvement in mortality rate since the introduction of immunosuppression&#44; long-term prognosis is still uncertain not only because of the disease activity but also due to treatment associated adverse effects&#46; The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio &#40;NLR&#41; has been demonstrated as an inflammatory marker in multiple settings&#46; In this study&#44; we aimed to investigate the prognostic ability of the NLR in AAV patients&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0010" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0015">Methods</span><p id="spar0010" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">We conducted a retrospective analysis of the clinical records of all adult patients with AVV admitted to the Nephrology and Renal Transplantation Department of Centro Hospitalar Universit&#225;rio Lisboa Norte from January 2006 to December 2019&#46; NLR was calculated at admission&#46; The outcomes measured were severe infection at 3 months and one-year mortality&#46; The prognostic ability of the NLR was determined using the receiver operating characteristic &#40;ROC&#41; curve&#46; A cut-off value was defined as that with the highest validity&#46; All variables underwent univariate analysis to determine statistically significant factors that may have outcomes&#46; Only variables which significantly differed were used in the multivariate analysis using the logistic regression method&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0015" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0020">Results</span><p id="spar0015" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">We registered 45 cases of AVV&#46; The mean age at diagnosis was 67&#46;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>12&#46;1 years and 23 patients were male&#46; The mean Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score &#40;BVAS&#41; at presentation was 26&#46;0<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>10&#46;4&#46; Twenty-nine patients were ANCA-MPO positive&#44; 7 ANCA-PR3 positive and 9 were considered negative ANCA vasculitis&#46; At admission&#44; mean serum creatinine &#40;SCr&#41; was 4&#46;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>2&#46;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mg&#47;dL&#44; erythrocyte sedimentation rate &#40;ESR&#41; was 76&#46;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>33&#46;8<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mm&#47;h&#44; hemoglobin was 9&#46;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>1&#46;7<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>g&#47;dL&#44; C-reactive protein was 13&#46;2<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;8<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mg&#47;dL and NLR was 8&#46;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>6&#46;8&#46; Thirty-five patients were treated with cyclophosphamide&#44; eight patients with rituximab for induction therapy&#46; Twenty patients developed severe infection within the first three months after starting induction immunosuppression&#46; In a multivariate analysis&#44; older age &#40;73&#46;6<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>10&#46;5 vs&#46; 62&#46;6<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>11&#46;3&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;002&#44; adjusted OR 1&#46;08 &#91;95&#37; CI 1&#46;01&#8211;1&#46;16&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;035&#41; and higher NLR &#40;11&#46;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>7&#46;4 vs&#46; 5&#46;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;0&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;002&#44; adjusted OR 1&#46;14 &#91;95&#37; CI 1&#46;01&#8211;1&#46;29&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;035&#41; were predictors of severe infection at 3 months&#46; NLR &#8805;4&#46;04 predicted severe infection at 3 months with a sensitivity of 95&#37; and specificity of 52&#37; and the AUROC curve was 0&#46;0794 &#40;95&#37; CI 0&#46;647&#8211;0&#46;900&#41;&#46; Nine patients died within the first year&#46; Severe infection at 3 months was independently associated with mortality within the first year &#40;OR 6&#46;19 &#91;95&#37; CI 1&#46;12&#8211;34&#46;32&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;037&#41;&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0020" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0025">Conclusions</span><p id="spar0020" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">NLR at diagnosis was an independent predictor of severe infection within the first 3 months after immunosuppression start&#44; and severe infection within the first three months was consequently correlated with one-year mortality&#46; NLR is an easily calculated and low-cost laboratory inflammation biomarker and can prove useful in identifying AAV patients at risk of infection and poorer prognosis&#46;</p></span>"
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        "resumen" => "<span id="abst0025" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0035">Introducci&#243;n</span><p id="spar0025" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">La vasculitis asociada a anticuerpos &#40;VAA&#41; contra citoplasma de neutr&#243;filos es una enfermedad multisist&#233;mica&#46; A pesar de la mejora de la tasa de mortalidad desde la introducci&#243;n de la inmunosupresi&#243;n&#44; el pron&#243;stico a largo plazo sigue siendo incierto no solo por la actividad de la enfermedad sino tambi&#233;n por los efectos adversos asociados al tratamiento&#46; Se ha demostrado que la proporci&#243;n entre neutr&#243;filos y linfocitos &#40;PNL&#41; es un marcador de inflamaci&#243;n en varios contextos&#46; En este estudio se propuso investigar la capacidad de pron&#243;stico de la PNL en pacientes con VAA&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0030" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0040">M&#233;todos</span><p id="spar0030" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Se realiz&#243; un an&#225;lisis retrospectivo de las historias cl&#237;nicas de todos los pacientes adultos con VAA ingresados en el Departamento de Nefrolog&#237;a y Trasplante Renal del Centro Hospitalario Universitario Lisboa Norte entre enero de 2006 y diciembre de 2019&#46; La PNL se calcul&#243; en el momento del ingreso&#46; Los resultados medidos fueron la infecci&#243;n grave a los 3 meses y la mortalidad al a&#241;o&#46; La capacidad de pron&#243;stico de la PNL se determin&#243; utilizando la curva de caracter&#237;sticas operativas del receptor &#40;COR&#41;&#46; Se defini&#243; un valor de corte como el de mayor validez&#46; Todas las variables se sometieron a un an&#225;lisis univariado para determinar los factores estad&#237;sticamente significativos que pueden tener resultados&#46; En el an&#225;lisis multivariado se utilizaron solo las variables que difer&#237;an significativamente&#44; empleando el m&#233;todo de regresi&#243;n log&#237;stica&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0035" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0045">Resultados</span><p id="spar0035" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Se registraron 45 casos de VAA&#46; La edad media en el momento del diagn&#243;stico era de 67&#44;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>12&#44;1 a&#241;os y 23 pacientes eran hombres&#46; La media de la puntuaci&#243;n de actividad de la vasculitis de Birmingham &#40;BVAS&#41; en el momento de la presentaci&#243;n era de 26&#44;0<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>10&#44;4&#46; Veintinueve pacientes dieron positivo en MPO-ANCA&#44; 7 dieron positivo en PR3-ANCA y 9 dieron negativo en vasculitis asociada a ANCA&#46; En el momento del ingreso&#44; el nivel de creatinina s&#233;rica &#40;SCr&#41; media era de 4&#44;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>2&#44;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mg&#47;dl&#44; la velocidad de sedimentaci&#243;n globular &#40;VSG&#41; era de 76&#44;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>33&#44;8<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mm&#47;h&#44; el nivel de hemoglobina era de 9&#44;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>1&#44;7<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>g&#47;dl&#44; el nivel de prote&#237;na C reactiva era de 13&#44;2<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#44;8<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mg&#47;dl y la PNL era de 8&#44;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>6&#44;8&#46; Treinta y cinco pacientes se trataron con ciclofosfamida y 8 con rituximab para un tratamiento de inducci&#243;n&#46; Veinte pacientes desarrollaron una infecci&#243;n grave en los primeros 3 meses despu&#233;s de iniciar la inmunosupresi&#243;n por inducci&#243;n&#46; En un an&#225;lisis multivariado&#44; una edad superior &#40;73&#44;6<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>10&#44;5 frente a 62&#44;6<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>11&#44;3&#44; p<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#44;002&#44; OR ajustado 1&#44;08 &#91;IC del 95&#37;&#58; 1&#44;01-1&#44;16&#93;&#44; p<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#44;035&#41; y una PNL superior &#40;11&#44;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>7&#44;4 frente a 5&#44;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#44;0&#44; p<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#44;002&#44; OR ajustado 1&#44;14 &#91;IC del 95&#37;&#58; 1&#44;01-1&#44;29&#93;&#44; p<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#44;035&#41; fueron indicadores de una infecci&#243;n grave a los 3 meses&#46; Una PNL<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#8805;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>4&#44;04 predijo una infecci&#243;n grave a los 3 meses con una sensibilidad del 95&#37; y una especificidad del 52&#37; y la curva AUROC fue de 0&#44;0794 &#40;IC del 95&#37;&#58; 0&#44;647-0&#44;900&#41;&#46; Nueve pacientes fallecieron en el primer a&#241;o&#46; La infecci&#243;n grave a los 3 meses estaba asociada de manera independiente a la mortalidad en el primer a&#241;o &#40;OR 6&#44;19 &#91;IC del 95&#37;&#58; 1&#44;12-34&#44;32&#93;&#44; p<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#44;037&#41;&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0040" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0050">Conclusiones</span><p id="spar0040" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">La PNL en el momento del diagn&#243;stico fue un indicador independiente de la infecci&#243;n grave en los primeros 3 meses despu&#233;s del inicio de la inmunosupresi&#243;n&#46; La infecci&#243;n grave en los primeros 3 meses se correlacion&#243; como consecuencia con la mortalidad al a&#241;o&#46; La PNL es un biomarcador de inflamaci&#243;n para pruebas anal&#237;ticas f&#225;cil de calcular y de bajo coste&#44; y puede resultar &#250;til para identificar a los pacientes con VAA que corren riesgo de contraer una infecci&#243;n y tienen un pron&#243;stico m&#225;s desfavorable&#46;</p></span>"
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Original article
The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as a marker of vasculitis activity, severe infection and mortality in anca-associated vasculitis: A retrospective study
La proporción entre neutrófilos y linfocitos como marcador de la actividad de la vasculitis, la infección grave y la mortalidad en la vasculitis asociada a los ANCA: un estudio retrospectivo
José Agapito Fonseca
Autor para correspondencia
joana.estrelagameiro@gmail.com

Corresponding author.
, Joana Gameiro, Inês Duarte, Sofia Jorge, José António Lopes
Division of Nephrology and Renal Transplantation, Department of Medicine. Centro Hospitalar Universitário Lisboa Norte, EPE. Av. Prof. Egas Moniz, 1649-035 Lisboa, Portugal
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    "textoCompleto" => "<span class="elsevierStyleSections"><span id="sec0005" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0065">Introduction</span><p id="par0005" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">ANCA-associated vasculitis &#40;AAV&#41; is defined by the 2012 Chapel Hill Consensus Conference Nomenclature of Vasculitides &#40;CHCC 2012&#41; as necrotizing vasculitis&#44; predominantly affecting small vessels&#44; with few or no immune deposits&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0250"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span></a> AAV is a systemic inflammatory disease associated with myeloperoxidase &#40;MPO&#41; ANCA or proteinase 3 &#40;PR3&#41; ANCA&#44; although approximately 10&#37; of patients are ANCA negative&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0255"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span></a></p><p id="par0010" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Clinical features may arise as nonspecific symptoms such as fatigue&#44; anorexia&#44; weight loss&#44; arthralgias&#44; myalgias and fever&#44; with other clinical manifestations depending on the organs affected by vasculitis&#46; Clinical and pathological findings subdivide AAV in three different clinical syndromes&#58; microscopic polyangiitis &#40;MPA&#41;&#44; granulomatosis with polyangiitis &#40;GPA&#41; and eosinophilic granulomatosis with polyangiitis &#40;EGPA&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0260"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span></a></p><p id="par0015" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Renal involvement is frequent in AAV&#44; particularly in patients with MPA and GPA&#44; and clinical presentation typically includes microscopic hematuria&#44; low grade to sub-nephrotic proteinuria and&#47;or a decline of kidney function frequently presenting as rapidly progressive glomerulonephritis&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0265"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">4&#44;5</span></a></p><p id="par0020" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Prognosis has evolved favorably since the introduction of corticosteroids first and cyclophosphamide after&#44; with mortality rates dropping from 80&#37; in the first year to approximately 20&#37; in most studies on a five year follow up&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0275"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">6</span></a> However&#44; end-stage kidney disease and short-term mortality within one year after diagnosis remain important issues to address&#44; particularly in those who present with rapidly progressive glomerulonephritis and alveolar hemorrhage&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0280"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span></a></p><p id="par0025" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Predictors of clinical outcomes in AAV have paramount importance in determining which patients may benefit from more aggressive immunosuppressive therapy&#46; Therefore&#44; genetic&#44; histopathological and clinical predictors have been researched&#44; although validation in multicenter randomized controlled trials of these predictors remains scarce&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0285"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">8&#8211;10</span></a></p><p id="par0030" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio &#40;NLR&#41; is a biomarker of systemic inflammation which has shown prognostic ability in multiple clinical settings&#44; namely in progression of chronic kidney disease&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0300"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">11</span></a> acute kidney injury&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0305"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">12</span></a> cancer patients<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0310"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span></a> and in renal transplantation&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0315"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">14</span></a> Whether the same prognostic ability can be extended to AAV remains unknown&#46;</p><p id="par0035" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic ability of the NLR at admission in patients presenting with de novo AAV for development of severe infection and mortality within the first year&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0010" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0070">Materials and methods</span><span id="sec0015" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0075">Study design</span><p id="par0040" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We conducted a retrospective analysis of the clinical records of all adult patients with AAV admitted to the Nephrology and Renal Transplantation Department of Centro Hospitalar Universit&#225;rio Lisboa Norte from January 2006 to December 2019&#46;</p><p id="par0045" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The study was approved by the Ethical Committee at the Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Norte&#44; EPE&#44; in agreement with institutional guidelines&#46; Informed consent was waived by the Ethical Committee due to the retrospective and non-interventional nature of the study&#46;</p><p id="par0050" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Inclusion criteria included&#58; All patients aged 18 or older who were admitted to the Nephrology Ward of the Department of Nephrology and Renal Transplantation of Centro Hospitalar Universit&#225;rio Lisboa Norte from January 2006 to December 2019 and diagnosed with de novo AAV presenting as rapidly progressive renal failure were eligible for this study&#46;</p><p id="par0055" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Exclusion criteria included&#58; CKD patients already on renal replacement therapy&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0020" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0080">Variables</span><p id="par0060" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">All variables were collected from electronic and hand-written patient clinical records&#46; All scores and formulas were calculated based on raw clinical data&#46;</p><p id="par0065" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The analyzed variables included demographic characteristics &#40;age&#44; gender&#44; and ethnicity&#41;&#44; laboratory values at admission &#40;serum hemoglobin &#40;Hb&#41;&#44; neutrophil count&#44; lymphocyte count&#44; serum creatinine &#40;SCr&#41;&#44; erythrocyte sedimentation rate &#40;ESR&#41; and C-reactive protein &#40;CRP&#41;&#44; ANCA serology&#41;&#44; clinical characteristics at presentation &#40;pulmonary hemorrhage&#44; rapidly progressive renal failure&#41;&#44; Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0320"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">15</span></a> need of renal replacement therapy&#44; plasmapheresis&#44; induction and maintenance immunosuppression used&#44; SCr at discharge&#46; NLR was calculated at admission as neutrophil count&#47;lymphocyte count&#46;</p><p id="par0070" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Renal function recovery at discharge&#44; leucopenia and severe infection at 3 months&#44; and one-year mortality were the outcomes assessed&#46;</p><p id="par0075" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Severe infection was defined as life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection <a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0325"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">16</span></a> or any infection requiring hospitalization according to clinician&#39;s judgment&#46;</p><p id="par0080" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Renal function recovery was defined as improvement of AKI stage&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0330"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">17</span></a></p></span><span id="sec0025" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0085">Statistical analysis</span><p id="par0085" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Continuous variables were presented as the mean<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>standard deviation and categorical variables as the total number and percentage of cases for each category&#46; The normality of the distribution was assessed using the Kolmogorov&#8211;Smirnov test&#46; Variables were compared using Student&#39;s <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">t</span>-test for normally distributed continuous variables and chi square test for categorical variables&#46;</p><p id="par0090" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Firstly&#44; all variables underwent univariate analysis to determine statistically significant factors that may have contributed to leucopenia&#44; severe infection and mortality&#46; Only variables which significantly differed between groups were used in the multivariate analysis using the Cox logistic regression method&#46; Data were expressed as Odds ratios &#40;OR&#41; with 95&#37; confidence intervals &#40;95&#37;CI&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0095" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The prognostic ability of the NLR was determined using the receiver operating characteristic &#40;ROC&#41; curve&#46; A cut-off value was defined as that with the highest validity&#46;</p><p id="par0100" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">No sensitivity analyses were carried out&#46; 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presented with rapidly progressive renal failure &#40;RPRF&#41;&#44; 25 patients &#40;55&#46;6&#37;&#41; required hemodialysis start&#44; and 13 patients &#40;28&#46;9&#37;&#41; presented alveolar hemorrhage&#46; The mean Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score &#40;BVAS&#41; at presentation was 26&#46;0<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>10&#46;4&#46;</p><p id="par0115" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">At admission&#44; mean serum creatinine &#40;SCr&#41; was 4&#46;92<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>2&#46;52<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mg&#47;dL&#44; hemoglobin was 9&#46;57<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>1&#46;72<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>g&#47;dL&#44; NLR was 8&#46;54<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>6&#46;83&#44; erythrocyte sedimentation rate &#40;ESR&#41; was 76&#46;90<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>33&#46;85<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mm&#47;h and C-reactive protein was 13&#46;2<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;8<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mg&#47;dL&#46; Twenty-nine patients &#40;64&#46;4&#37;&#41; were ANCA-MPO positive&#44; 7 patients &#40;15&#46;6&#37;&#41; ANCA-PR3 positive and 9 patients &#40;20&#37;&#41; were negative ANCA vasculitis&#46;</p><p id="par0120" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Concerning induction therapy&#44; 35 patients &#40;77&#46;8&#37;&#41; were treated with cyclophosphamide&#44; 35 patients &#40;77&#46;8&#37;&#41; with corticosteroid pulses&#44; eight patients &#40;17&#46;8&#37;&#41; with rituximab for induction therapy&#44; of which five were treated with both cyclophosphamide and rituximab&#46; One-third of patients &#40;33&#46;3&#37;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>15&#41; underwent plasmapheresis&#46;</p><span id="sec0035" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0095">Outcomes</span><p id="par0125" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Most patients recovered renal function at discharge &#40;66&#46;7&#37;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>30&#41;&#44; and the majority of patients continued maintenance therapy after induction &#40;64&#46;4&#37;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>29&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0130" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">During the first three months after induction immunosuppression start&#44; 10 patients &#40;22&#46;2&#41; developed leucopenia&#44; 20 patients &#40;44&#46;4&#37;&#41; developed severe infection&#46;</p><p id="par0135" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Patients who developed severe infection within the first three months of induction immunossupression were older &#40;73&#46;6<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>10&#46;5 vs&#46; 62&#46;6<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>11&#46;3&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;002&#41;&#44; presented more often with alveolar hemorrhage &#40;45 vs&#46; 16&#37;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;033&#41; and higher NLR at admission &#40;11&#46;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>7&#46;4 vs&#46; 5&#46;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;0&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;002&#41;&#46; Fewer patients treated with rituximab as induction therapy developed severe infection &#40;5 vs&#46; 28&#37;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;045&#41;&#46; In a multivariate analysis&#44; older age &#40;adjusted OR 1&#46;08 &#91;95&#37; CI 1&#46;01&#8211;1&#46;16&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;035&#41; and higher NLR &#40;adjusted OR 1&#46;14 &#91;95&#37; CI 1&#46;01&#8211;1&#46;29&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;035&#41; were predictors of severe infection at 3 months&#46;</p><p id="par0140" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">On a one-year follow-up&#44; 20&#37; of patients &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">n</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>9&#41; died&#46; These patients were older &#40;76&#46;8<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>7&#46;0 vs&#46; 65&#46;2<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>12&#46;1&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;009&#59; unadjusted OR 1&#46;11 &#91;95&#37; CI 1&#46;02&#8211;1&#46;21&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;019&#41; and developed more often severe infection within 3 months of induction immunossupression &#40;77&#46;8 vs&#46; 36&#46;1&#37;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;024&#59; unadjusted OR 6&#46;19 &#91;95&#37; CI 1&#46;12&#8211;34&#46;32&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;037&#41;&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0040" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0100">NLR and severe infection</span><p id="par0145" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">A ROC curve was produced to evaluate the discriminative ability of the NL ratio for severe infection at 3 months after starting induction immunossupression&#46; The AUC for prediction of severe infection at 3 months was of 0&#46;0794 &#40;95&#37; CI 0&#46;647&#8211;0&#46;900&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;0001&#41; &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0005">Fig&#46; 1</a>&#41;&#46; The optimal cut-off was assessed to be &#8805;4&#46;04&#44; which has a sensitivity of 95&#37; and specificity of 52&#37;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="fig0005"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="par0150" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">This cut-off was also used to assess disease activity&#46; However&#44; there was no significant association between NLR &#8805;4&#46;04 and BVAS &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;647&#41;&#46;</p></span></span><span id="sec0045" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0105">Discussion</span><p id="par0155" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In this retrospective cohort&#44; we demonstrated that a higher NLR at admission was independently associated with development of severe infection within 3 months of starting induction therapy in AAV patients&#46; Additionally&#44; development of severe infection was associated with one-year mortality&#46;</p><p id="par0160" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The association of this marker with prognosis in this setting reinforces the role of inflammation in ANCA-vasculitis&#46; Although the events leading to vasculitis initiation remain unproven&#44; several hypothesis have been posed&#44; which highlight the role of genetic&#44; infectious and environmental factors in the pathogenesis of AAV&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0335"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">18</span></a></p><p id="par0165" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Inflammatory cytokines&#44; such as tumor necrosis factor &#945; and interleukin 1&#44; play a role through priming neutrophils&#44; inducing increased expression of ANCA antigens on their surfaces&#44; enabling ANCAs &#40;formed through prolonged exposure of antigens to the immune system or infection-induced molecular mimicry&#41; to bind them&#44; causing neutrophil activation&#46; Activated neutrophils alter the expression of cell surface adhesion molecules&#44; making possible the attachment to vascular endothelial cells and are responsible for releasing lytic enzymes from granules&#44; reactive oxygen species and neutrophil extracellular traps &#40;NETS&#41;&#44; thus provoking damage to the endothelial cells&#46; Moreover&#44; activated neutrophils release factors that activate the alternative complement pathway&#44; generating C5a which amplifies the inflammatory reaction&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0340"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">19&#8211;22</span></a></p><p id="par0170" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">NLR has been described in recent literature as a significant marker of inflammation and a useful predictor of the development of acute kidney injury in different settings&#44; namely in the emergency department&#44; sepsis-associated AKI&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0360"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">23&#44;24</span></a> contrast-induced AKI&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0370"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">25</span></a> after cardiovascular surgery <a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0375"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">26</span></a> and major abdominal surgery&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0380"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">27</span></a></p><p id="par0175" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Neutrophil counts are usually proportionally elevated to inflammation&#44; and activated neutrophils are associated with the pathogenesis of AAV&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0355"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">22</span></a> Also lymphocyte counts may be diminished in inflammatory states&#44; namely in active AAV in which lymphopenia results from extensive recruitment of peripheral T cells to the affected tissues&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0385"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">28&#44;29</span></a> Thus&#44; the NLR could hypothetically reflect the inflammatory load of AAV patients&#46;</p><p id="par0180" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Furthermore&#44; neutrophilia and lymphopenia can be a result of immunosuppression or a result of systemic infection developed during immunosuppressive treatment&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0395"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">30</span></a> Therefore&#44; to reduce bias the ratio should be calculated at disease presentation before any therapeutic measure takes place&#46;</p><p id="par0185" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Validation of this practical&#44; inexpensive and easily calculated biomarker has been explored in AAV patients&#44; with early studies suggesting a positive relation between the NLR and BVAS&#44; acute phase reactants and worse renal outcomes&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0400"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">31</span></a> Other studies&#44; however&#44; have shown conflicting results between the ratio and disease activity as well as extrarenal manifestations&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0405"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">32</span></a></p><p id="par0190" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Recently&#44; Ahn et al&#46; retrospectively analyzed 160 AAV patients and reported that an elevated NLR was correlated with vasculitis activity estimated by BVAS at diagnosis and predicted relapse during follow-up &#40;Patients having NLR &#8805;5&#46;9 exhibited severe AAV more frequently than those having NLR<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;9 at diagnosis &#40;relative 2&#46;189&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;023&#41;&#46;&#41;&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0410"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">33</span></a> In our study&#44; we have not confirmed this association&#46; Park et al&#46; also proposed a platelet to lymphocyte ratio &#40;PLR&#41; to predict AAV inflammatory burden&#44; in which a PLR &#8805;272&#46;0 was able to predict severe AAV at diagnosis&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0415"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">34</span></a></p><p id="par0195" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The assessment of clinical predictors of complications associated with the immunosuppressive treatment of AAV has been barely done&#46; On a literature review&#44; there have been no reports of NLR used as a predictor of severe infections in AAV patients&#46; Our study therefore reflects the importance of the NLR as an indirect and sensitive predictor of inflammation and outcomes in this setting&#46;</p><p id="par0200" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Although novel therapeutic options have been developed for patients with AAV&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0420"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">35&#44;36</span></a> long-term safety still composes a major concern&#44; specifically in terms of infectious complications and neoplasms&#44; since these therapeutics do not appear to significantly decrease the risk of developing such adverse events&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0430"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">37</span></a></p><p id="par0205" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In fact&#44; infections were responsible for hospitalization of more than 30&#37; of patients treated with immunosuppressive therapy on a five-year follow up and the leading cause of death in those patients&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0280"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">7&#44;38</span></a></p><p id="par0210" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Age over 65 years&#44; pulmonary involvement and the Five Factor Score &#40;FFS&#41; constitute baseline independent predictors of severe infection according to a retrospective analysis of five major randomized controlled trials &#40;RCTs&#41; of the French Vasculitis Study Group&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0440"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">39</span></a> A higher BVAS at diagnosis has also shown prognostic ability in assessing development of serious infection in AAV patients&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0445"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">40</span></a> Smoking status and baseline serum creatinine at diagnosis may also play a role as risk factors for infectious complications&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0450"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">41</span></a></p><p id="par0215" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Data regarding infectious complications related to treatment modalities and strategies remain controversial&#46; Although no therapeutic regimen was significantly associated with severe infection&#44; patients treated with corticosteroids and cyclophosphamide as induction therapy tended to have had more severe infections according to the French Vasculitis Study Group&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0440"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">39&#44;42</span></a> The role of rituximab has also been extensively studied in recent years&#44; with two major RCTs showing that serious infections rates were similar between rituximab and the groups including patients treated with iv cyclophosphamide&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0420"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">35&#44;36</span></a> Furthermore&#44; concerns regarding corticosteroids adverse effects have led to the development of steroid-sparing protocols with good results&#44; namely reduced risk of infectious complications and without an increase in progression to end-stage renal disease or mortality&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0460"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">43&#44;44</span></a></p><p id="par0220" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Therefore&#44; corticosteroids sparing regimens&#44; rituximab over cyclophosphamide or mixed protocols where cyclophosphamide is used in reduced cumulative doses are currently used and being developed to achieve a mainstay in therapeutic options&#44; providing the same efficacy achieved with previous regimens but at a reduced adverse events rate&#46; In our cohort&#44; no differences were found between treatment regimens and outcomes&#44; nevertheless the small sample may have resulted in these results&#46;</p><p id="par0225" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Mortality also remains an important issue in patients with AAV&#46; Despite important improvements after initiation of corticosteroids and cytotoxic therapy as noted above&#44; an important portion of patients with AAV still decease as a consequence of disease activity or more frequently as consequence of severe infection in the first year&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0470"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">45</span></a> On the long term&#44; cardiovascular disease&#44; malignancy and mortality account for the major causes of death in this population&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0280"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span></a></p><p id="par0230" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Age&#44; secondary infection&#44; initial renal function and pulmonary involvement of AAV act as independent predictors of mortality&#44; as reported in a retrospective study with almost 400 patients&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0475"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">46</span></a> Higher BVAS&#44; lower hemoglobin and higher white cell count at presentation were also described as negative outcome predictors in AAV patients&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0280"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span></a></p><p id="par0235" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Since early mortality plays an important role in this pathology&#44; identifying predictors of premature mortality may help in stratifying those who may be in need for intensive care unit &#40;ICU&#41; admission and more tailored therapy&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0480"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">47</span></a> Acute kidney injury&#44; smoking&#44; hemoptysis and respiratory failure were all predictors of ICU admission&#44; with those in need for blood transfusions and mechanical ventilation being at increased risk of early mortality&#44; within 28 days from admission&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0485"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">48</span></a> Although multiple clinical disease activity parameters significantly correlate with one-year mortality&#44; a high FFS and the occurrence of severe infection during the first month correlate better and constitute the most solid predictors of one-year mortality&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0490"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">49</span></a></p><p id="par0240" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In our study&#44; the NLR was a strong predictor of infection&#46; Indeed&#44; a NLR &#8805;4&#46;04 is associated with a significant risk of severe infection at 3 months&#46; More importantly&#44; assessment of this score emphasizes the low risk of developing severe infection in patients who have NLR &#60;4&#46;04&#44; which could guide therapy decision&#46; Nevertheless&#44; infection was not associated with mortality in the multivariate analysis&#44; which could be a result of the reduced number of patients in our population&#46; Therefore&#44; further studies are required to corroborate the NLR as a predictor of severe infection and mortality in AAV patients&#46;</p><p id="par0245" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We address some of the important limitations of this study&#46; Firstly&#44; the single-center nature of our study limits generalizability&#46; Secondly&#44; the retrospective design and the small cohort of patients could have contributed to disregarding some potential confounders with prognostic importance&#46; Thirdly&#44; the NLR was not age-adjusted&#44; which might have overestimated the importance of the ratio in older patients&#44; who are prone to exhibit a pro-inflammatory state&#46; Finally&#44; we did not discriminate infection source and did not address cause-specific mortality as well&#46;</p><p id="par0250" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Despite these limitations&#44; our study has several notable strengths&#46; To the best of our knowledge&#44; this is the one of the first studies evaluating the association between the NLR and prognosis in AAV patients&#46; We demonstrated the clinical significance of the NLR at diagnosis in estimating the prognosis of AAV patients&#46; Indeed&#44; the high specificity of the NLR reflects that a high ratio is predictive of severe infection within 3 months&#46; Also&#44; we provided an optimal cutoff of NLR to predict severe infection&#46;</p><p id="par0255" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We highlight the need for further understanding of AAV in order to identify at-risk patients&#44; guide immunossupression and ultimately improve patient outcomes&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0050" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0110">Conclusion</span><p id="par0260" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In conclusion&#44; we demonstrated that the NLR at admission was independently associated with development of severe infection within 3 months of starting induction therapy in AAV patients&#46; This ratio can be quickly assessed from a routine blood sample and can prove useful in identifying patients at risk of infection&#46; Recognizing high risk patients is crucial to guide immunosuppression and improve patient outcomes&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0060" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0115">Ethics approval and consent to participate</span><p id="par0265" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The study was approved by the Ethical Committee at the Centro Hospitalar Universit&#225;rio Lisboa Norte&#44; EPE&#44; in agreement with institutional guidelines&#46; Informed consent was waived by the Ethical Committee due to the retrospective and non-interventional nature of the study&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0065" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0120">Consent for publication</span><p id="par0270" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Not applicable&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0070" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0125">Availability of data and material</span><p id="par0275" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Please contact author for data requests&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0075" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0130">Funding</span><p id="par0280" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">No funding was received for this study&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0080" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0135">Authors&#8217; contributions</span><p id="par0285" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">JAF and JG made substantial contributions to the study concept and design&#44; analysis and interpretation of data&#44; and were involved in drafting the manuscript and revising it critically for important intellectual content&#46; JAF&#44; ID&#44; JG participated in the acquisition of data&#46; SJ and JAL were involved in the critical revision of the manuscript and approval of the final version to be submitted&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0085" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0140">Conflict of interests</span><p id="par0290" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">There is no conflict of interest&#46; The results presented in this paper have not been published previously in whole or part&#44; except in abstract format&#46;</p></span></span>"
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    "fechaRecibido" => "2020-03-27"
    "fechaAceptado" => "2020-07-25"
    "PalabrasClave" => array:2 [
      "en" => array:1 [
        0 => array:4 [
          "clase" => "keyword"
          "titulo" => "Keywords"
          "identificador" => "xpalclavsec1368468"
          "palabras" => array:7 [
            0 => "Vasculitis"
            1 => "Glomerulonephritis"
            2 => "Anca"
            3 => "Vasculitis associated with ANCA"
            4 => "Neutrophils"
            5 => "Lymphocytes"
            6 => "Prognosis"
          ]
        ]
      ]
      "es" => array:1 [
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          "clase" => "keyword"
          "titulo" => "Palabras clave"
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          "palabras" => array:7 [
            0 => "Vasculitis"
            1 => "Glomerulonefritis"
            2 => "ANCA"
            3 => "Vasculitis asociada a ANCA"
            4 => "Neutr&#243;filos"
            5 => "Linfocitos"
            6 => "Pron&#243;stico"
          ]
        ]
      ]
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        "titulo" => "Abstract"
        "resumen" => "<span id="abst0005" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0010">Introduction</span><p id="spar0005" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis &#40;AAV&#41; is a multisystemic disease&#46; Despite the improvement in mortality rate since the introduction of immunosuppression&#44; long-term prognosis is still uncertain not only because of the disease activity but also due to treatment associated adverse effects&#46; The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio &#40;NLR&#41; has been demonstrated as an inflammatory marker in multiple settings&#46; In this study&#44; we aimed to investigate the prognostic ability of the NLR in AAV patients&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0010" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0015">Methods</span><p id="spar0010" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">We conducted a retrospective analysis of the clinical records of all adult patients with AVV admitted to the Nephrology and Renal Transplantation Department of Centro Hospitalar Universit&#225;rio Lisboa Norte from January 2006 to December 2019&#46; NLR was calculated at admission&#46; The outcomes measured were severe infection at 3 months and one-year mortality&#46; The prognostic ability of the NLR was determined using the receiver operating characteristic &#40;ROC&#41; curve&#46; A cut-off value was defined as that with the highest validity&#46; All variables underwent univariate analysis to determine statistically significant factors that may have outcomes&#46; Only variables which significantly differed were used in the multivariate analysis using the logistic regression method&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0015" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0020">Results</span><p id="spar0015" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">We registered 45 cases of AVV&#46; The mean age at diagnosis was 67&#46;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>12&#46;1 years and 23 patients were male&#46; The mean Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score &#40;BVAS&#41; at presentation was 26&#46;0<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>10&#46;4&#46; Twenty-nine patients were ANCA-MPO positive&#44; 7 ANCA-PR3 positive and 9 were considered negative ANCA vasculitis&#46; At admission&#44; mean serum creatinine &#40;SCr&#41; was 4&#46;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>2&#46;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mg&#47;dL&#44; erythrocyte sedimentation rate &#40;ESR&#41; was 76&#46;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>33&#46;8<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mm&#47;h&#44; hemoglobin was 9&#46;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>1&#46;7<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>g&#47;dL&#44; C-reactive protein was 13&#46;2<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;8<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mg&#47;dL and NLR was 8&#46;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>6&#46;8&#46; Thirty-five patients were treated with cyclophosphamide&#44; eight patients with rituximab for induction therapy&#46; Twenty patients developed severe infection within the first three months after starting induction immunosuppression&#46; In a multivariate analysis&#44; older age &#40;73&#46;6<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>10&#46;5 vs&#46; 62&#46;6<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>11&#46;3&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;002&#44; adjusted OR 1&#46;08 &#91;95&#37; CI 1&#46;01&#8211;1&#46;16&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;035&#41; and higher NLR &#40;11&#46;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>7&#46;4 vs&#46; 5&#46;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;0&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;002&#44; adjusted OR 1&#46;14 &#91;95&#37; CI 1&#46;01&#8211;1&#46;29&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;035&#41; were predictors of severe infection at 3 months&#46; NLR &#8805;4&#46;04 predicted severe infection at 3 months with a sensitivity of 95&#37; and specificity of 52&#37; and the AUROC curve was 0&#46;0794 &#40;95&#37; CI 0&#46;647&#8211;0&#46;900&#41;&#46; Nine patients died within the first year&#46; Severe infection at 3 months was independently associated with mortality within the first year &#40;OR 6&#46;19 &#91;95&#37; CI 1&#46;12&#8211;34&#46;32&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">p</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#46;037&#41;&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0020" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0025">Conclusions</span><p id="spar0020" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">NLR at diagnosis was an independent predictor of severe infection within the first 3 months after immunosuppression start&#44; and severe infection within the first three months was consequently correlated with one-year mortality&#46; NLR is an easily calculated and low-cost laboratory inflammation biomarker and can prove useful in identifying AAV patients at risk of infection and poorer prognosis&#46;</p></span>"
        "secciones" => array:4 [
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            "titulo" => "Introduction"
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            "titulo" => "Methods"
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      "es" => array:3 [
        "titulo" => "Resumen"
        "resumen" => "<span id="abst0025" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0035">Introducci&#243;n</span><p id="spar0025" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">La vasculitis asociada a anticuerpos &#40;VAA&#41; contra citoplasma de neutr&#243;filos es una enfermedad multisist&#233;mica&#46; A pesar de la mejora de la tasa de mortalidad desde la introducci&#243;n de la inmunosupresi&#243;n&#44; el pron&#243;stico a largo plazo sigue siendo incierto no solo por la actividad de la enfermedad sino tambi&#233;n por los efectos adversos asociados al tratamiento&#46; Se ha demostrado que la proporci&#243;n entre neutr&#243;filos y linfocitos &#40;PNL&#41; es un marcador de inflamaci&#243;n en varios contextos&#46; En este estudio se propuso investigar la capacidad de pron&#243;stico de la PNL en pacientes con VAA&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0030" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0040">M&#233;todos</span><p id="spar0030" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Se realiz&#243; un an&#225;lisis retrospectivo de las historias cl&#237;nicas de todos los pacientes adultos con VAA ingresados en el Departamento de Nefrolog&#237;a y Trasplante Renal del Centro Hospitalario Universitario Lisboa Norte entre enero de 2006 y diciembre de 2019&#46; La PNL se calcul&#243; en el momento del ingreso&#46; Los resultados medidos fueron la infecci&#243;n grave a los 3 meses y la mortalidad al a&#241;o&#46; La capacidad de pron&#243;stico de la PNL se determin&#243; utilizando la curva de caracter&#237;sticas operativas del receptor &#40;COR&#41;&#46; Se defini&#243; un valor de corte como el de mayor validez&#46; Todas las variables se sometieron a un an&#225;lisis univariado para determinar los factores estad&#237;sticamente significativos que pueden tener resultados&#46; En el an&#225;lisis multivariado se utilizaron solo las variables que difer&#237;an significativamente&#44; empleando el m&#233;todo de regresi&#243;n log&#237;stica&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0035" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0045">Resultados</span><p id="spar0035" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Se registraron 45 casos de VAA&#46; La edad media en el momento del diagn&#243;stico era de 67&#44;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>12&#44;1 a&#241;os y 23 pacientes eran hombres&#46; La media de la puntuaci&#243;n de actividad de la vasculitis de Birmingham &#40;BVAS&#41; en el momento de la presentaci&#243;n era de 26&#44;0<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>10&#44;4&#46; Veintinueve pacientes dieron positivo en MPO-ANCA&#44; 7 dieron positivo en PR3-ANCA y 9 dieron negativo en vasculitis asociada a ANCA&#46; En el momento del ingreso&#44; el nivel de creatinina s&#233;rica &#40;SCr&#41; media era de 4&#44;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>2&#44;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mg&#47;dl&#44; la velocidad de sedimentaci&#243;n globular &#40;VSG&#41; era de 76&#44;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>33&#44;8<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mm&#47;h&#44; el nivel de hemoglobina era de 9&#44;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>1&#44;7<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>g&#47;dl&#44; el nivel de prote&#237;na C reactiva era de 13&#44;2<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#44;8<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>mg&#47;dl y la PNL era de 8&#44;5<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>6&#44;8&#46; Treinta y cinco pacientes se trataron con ciclofosfamida y 8 con rituximab para un tratamiento de inducci&#243;n&#46; Veinte pacientes desarrollaron una infecci&#243;n grave en los primeros 3 meses despu&#233;s de iniciar la inmunosupresi&#243;n por inducci&#243;n&#46; En un an&#225;lisis multivariado&#44; una edad superior &#40;73&#44;6<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>10&#44;5 frente a 62&#44;6<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>11&#44;3&#44; p<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#44;002&#44; OR ajustado 1&#44;08 &#91;IC del 95&#37;&#58; 1&#44;01-1&#44;16&#93;&#44; p<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#44;035&#41; y una PNL superior &#40;11&#44;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>7&#44;4 frente a 5&#44;9<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#44;0&#44; p<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#44;002&#44; OR ajustado 1&#44;14 &#91;IC del 95&#37;&#58; 1&#44;01-1&#44;29&#93;&#44; p<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#44;035&#41; fueron indicadores de una infecci&#243;n grave a los 3 meses&#46; Una PNL<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#8805;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>4&#44;04 predijo una infecci&#243;n grave a los 3 meses con una sensibilidad del 95&#37; y una especificidad del 52&#37; y la curva AUROC fue de 0&#44;0794 &#40;IC del 95&#37;&#58; 0&#44;647-0&#44;900&#41;&#46; Nueve pacientes fallecieron en el primer a&#241;o&#46; La infecci&#243;n grave a los 3 meses estaba asociada de manera independiente a la mortalidad en el primer a&#241;o &#40;OR 6&#44;19 &#91;IC del 95&#37;&#58; 1&#44;12-34&#44;32&#93;&#44; p<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#44;037&#41;&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0040" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0050">Conclusiones</span><p id="spar0040" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">La PNL en el momento del diagn&#243;stico fue un indicador independiente de la infecci&#243;n grave en los primeros 3 meses despu&#233;s del inicio de la inmunosupresi&#243;n&#46; La infecci&#243;n grave en los primeros 3 meses se correlacion&#243; como consecuencia con la mortalidad al a&#241;o&#46; La PNL es un biomarcador de inflamaci&#243;n para pruebas anal&#237;ticas f&#225;cil de calcular y de bajo coste&#44; y puede resultar &#250;til para identificar a los pacientes con VAA que corren riesgo de contraer una infecci&#243;n y tienen un pron&#243;stico m&#225;s desfavorable&#46;</p></span>"
        "secciones" => array:4 [
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            "titulo" => "Introducci&#243;n"
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            "titulo" => "M&#233;todos"
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            "titulo" => "Conclusiones"
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          "en" => "<p id="spar0045" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">AUC of the risk model for the prediction of severe sepsis ate 3 months with NL ratio in ANCA-vasculitis patients&#46;</p>"
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      "titulo" => "References"
      "seccion" => array:1 [
        0 => array:2 [
          "identificador" => "bibs0015"
          "bibliografiaReferencia" => array:49 [
            0 => array:3 [
              "identificador" => "bib0250"
              "etiqueta" => "1"
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                      "autores" => array:1 [
                        0 => array:2 [
                          "etal" => true
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                            0 => "J&#46;C&#46; Jennette"
                            1 => "R&#46;J&#46; Falk"
                            2 => "P&#46;A&#46; Bacon"
                            3 => "N&#46; Basu"
                            4 => "M&#46;C&#46; Cid"
                            5 => "F&#46; Ferrario"
                          ]
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                    ]
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                    0 => array:2 [
                      "doi" => "10.1002/art.37715"
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                          ]
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                      "titulo" => "ANCA-negative pauci-immune renal vasculitis&#58; histology and outcome"
                      "autores" => array:1 [
                        0 => array:2 [
                          "etal" => true
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                            1 => "F&#46; Fakhouri"
                            2 => "P&#46; Vanhille"
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                            4 => "A&#46; Mahr"
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                            0 => "O&#46; Flossmann"
                            1 => "A&#46; Berden"
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