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chronic renal failure&#44; chronic renal insufficiency&#44; chronic renal impairment&#44; pre-uraemia and even Bright&#8217;s disease before renal biopsy&#46; Primary care physicians were largely uninformed about renal disease and na&#239;ve in their interpretation of serum creatinine measurements so they left the problem to the small number of specialists in renal units&#46; Because renal disease is relatively silent in its early stages&#44; diagnosis was often delayed and potential opportunities to prevent end-stage renal failure and treat its complications were lost&#46; The Kidney Disease Outcomes Quality Initiative &#40;KDOQI&#41; produced its seminal work in 2002 describing a definition and a staging system &#40;table 1&#41; using a metric&#44; estimated GFR &#40;eGFR&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span>&#46; This metric was first described in 1999<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#44; but used for several prior decades in another form&#44; estimated creatinine clearance &#40;eCcr&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span>&#46; Both estimates relied on equations using serum creatinine concentrations&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">This transformation was warmly welcomed and widely adopted&#46; It promoted awareness&#44; research and policy initiatives designed to contain the problem of CKD&#46; All this was laudable but the &#171;big idea&#187; has passed a &#171;tipping point&#187; and needs to be re-evaluated and refined<span class="elsevierStyleSup">4</span>&#46; It has become a &#171;brand&#187; with slogans and references to frightening &#40;but non-existent&#41; epidemics and tsunamis&#44; competing for prominence with many other health issues such as cancer&#44; obesity&#44; depression and diabetes all stridently demanding attention and funding because 1 in 10 or 1 in 5 or 1 in 3 of our citizens was or was destined to suffer from a condition which was avoidable or treatable&#46; Nephrology opened its bidding at 1 in 10 and has raised it to 1 in 7 US citizens having CKD<span class="elsevierStyleSup">5&#44;6</span>&#46; It has been exploited commercially and medicalised large numbers of older citizens who have nothing to fear from a reduced eGFR&#46; It is now time to pause&#44; examine the relevant facts beyond the &#171;hype&#187; and give nephrology and public health more precise and useful tools&#46; It is a &#171;given&#187; that good system design should solve problems without creating new ones&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">THE COMMON MISCONCEPTIONS</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">There is an epidemic of CKD</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The number of patients on RRT is indeed rising but there are good reasons for this other than an increased incidence of pre-RRT CKD in the population&#46; Indeed the annual incidence of new RRT patients is plateauing in the developed world&#44; for example the United Kingdom &#40;figure 1&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span>&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Demographics are changing</span></span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The proportion of older people is increasing&#46; In 1971 16&#37; of the British population was over 65 years old&#59; in 2004 the proportion had increased to over 18&#37;&#46; As ESRD is largely a disease of old age&#44; the ageing population brings with it an increase in the number of people with ESRD&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Access to RRT is improving</span></span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">When RRT &#40;specifically dialysis&#41; was first introduced the selection criteria were strict and it was essentially &#171;rationed&#187;&#46; Over the past few decades previous &#171;contraindications&#187; to RRT &#40;e&#46;g&#46; diabetes or older age&#41; have been abolished in high-income countries and consequently more people are eligible for RRT&#46; One consequence of this is an increase in the burden of co-morbidity in the RRT population<span class="elsevierStyleSup">8</span>&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Outcomes for RRT patients are improving</span></span><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#160;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">There has been a steady improvement in the survival of patients in high-income countries on RRT<span class="elsevierStyleSup">9-11</span>&#46; This has been in excess of the improvement in life expectancy in the general population&#44; although the reason for such improvement is undoubtedly multifactorial<span class="elsevierStyleSup">12</span>&#46; This increased survival increases the size of the prevalent RRT population&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Dialysis is being started earlier</span></span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">In the UK&#160; the mean eGFR at start has increased from ~ 6 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> to 8&#46;5 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> over the last ten years<span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span>&#46; Increased availability of RRT and increasing comorbidity of the RRT population have both contributed to this trend&#44; as has a desire to avoid uraemic complications&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">The proportion of CKD patients who progress to treated ESRD is extremely small</span></span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">In the UK the ratio of prevalent CKD&#58;treated ESRD is 1&#58;100&#160;and to incident treated ESRD is 1&#58;1&#44;000&#46; It is worth noting that the prevalence of CKD using the current definitions is similar in diverse populations but the incidence of treated ESRD is not&#46; This implies that there are populations in whom the risk of progressing is much higher&#46; The USA is a good example&#58; the incidence of treated ESRD is 2-2&#46;5 times that of most European countries which report a similar prevalence of &#171;CKD&#187;&#46; The problem of CKD as defined is therefore not primarily about ESRD&#46; There has to be a better way of identifying subjects at risk of needing treatment for ESRD&#58; trawling by eGFR is using too fine a net&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">There is nevertheless no room for complacency&#46; ESRD limits length and quality of life and its treatment is expensive so attempts to delay or prevent it should be made&#46; There may well be a major problem in the future if the prevalence of diabetes continues to rise &#40;in combination with the ageing population&#41; and renal complications are not prevented&#44; but this has not yet been observed&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">The construct will reduce late referral of ESRD patients</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Late referral of patients to renal services for RRT is defined as contact less than 90 days before RRT is needed&#46;&#160; These patients have worse outcomes<span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span>&#46; They cannot consider and choose their modality&#44; are usually started on haemodialysis via a central catheter&#44; take longer to establish on treatment&#44; spend longer in hospital and have more advanced complications of renal failure&#46; They have a higher mortality than those referred earlier but are more often in high risk groups with much co-morbidity&#46;&#160; The commonly quoted estimates are that around one quarter of new starters are &#171;late referrals&#187;&#46; Recently Udayaraj et al&#46; audited this in Oxford<span class="elsevierStyleSup">14</span>&#46; It emerged that only 4&#37; of new starters were avoidable late referrals &#40;figure 2&#41;&#46; The remainder had acute presentations of unpredictable disorders that cause irreversible renal failure or were migrants or refugees who were not in the NHS system previously&#46; Moreover the true late referrals should have been identified from their abnormal serum creatinine and known diagnoses&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">The construct identifies patients with treatable complications</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Moranne et al&#46; have surveyed the prevalence of complications of CKD<span class="elsevierStyleSup">15</span> &#40;figure 3&#41;&#46;&#160; It is apparent that complications &#40;which are quite sensitively defined&#41; are infrequent in the early stages of CKD and only become obvious when the GFR is &#60;30 mL&#47;min&#46; Such patients are just as easily identified by their abnormal serum creatinine interpreted in context as by eGFR&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">The CKD construct identifies a separate group of patients at risk of cardiovascular disease requiring treatment</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The commonest cause of death in patients with CKD is cardiovascular disease and the risk of cardiovascular events in inversely proportional to the GFR such that a 20 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> lower eGFR is associated with a 50&#37; 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Until then&#44; the presence of CKD does not alter management due to the lack of therapeutic options&#46; For CKD to be a useful concept&#44; it requires more than an unsurprising association with cardiovascular disease&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">&#160;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">THE FLAWS IN THE CONCEPT</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">CKD is not homogeneous</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">CKD is presented as an homogeneous syndrome of progressive renal injury and functional impairment causing an increase risk of premature death&#44; adverse cardiovascular events&#44; complications of kidney failure and end-stage renal failure all in proportion to the GFR&#46; Curiously for a continuum&#44; the stages are divided by &#171;bins&#187; of GFR&#58; &#62;90&#59; 60-89&#59; 30-59&#59; 15-29 and &#60;15&#46;&#160;These subdivisions are arbitrary and are not predictive of consequences&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">It ignores the context of the kidney functional impairment&#44; mixing subjects with a kidney disease with those with chronic disease that impinges on kidney function&#46; Thus the majority of those held to have CKD have no identifiable kidney disease&#46; This distinction is important because those with primary kidney disease behave differently from those that have secondary kidney dysfunction&#46; A patient with congestive heart failure with an eGFR of 25 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> is in a different prognostic group from one with polycystic kidney disease and a similar eGFR&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">This conflation of the two problems in the same schema explains why the prevalence of so-called CKD is so different from bona fide kidney disease&#46; This has led El Nahas to propose the concept of C-K-D especially in the elderly as being &#171;Cardio-Kidney-Damage&#187; reflecting the interaction of atherosclerosis&#44; cardiovascular disease&#44; kidney damage and dysfunction<span class="elsevierStyleSup">21</span>&#46; To describe such patients as having chronic kidney disease is to put all the emphasis on one organ&#46; It is no surprise that these patients die of their vascular disease and not of kidney failure for they are more likely to be diabetic&#44; hypertensive&#44; suffer heart failure and have had strokes and myocardial infarcts<span class="elsevierStyleSup">22</span>&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">The purpose of the system</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">It claims to stage kidney disease but it only divides GFRs into &#171;bins&#187;&#46;&#160; It is used clinically in individual patients and in populations as a risk stratification tool&#46; Disease staging and risk stratification should be separated&#44; have different end points and different purposes&#46; For example<span class="elsevierStyleSup">23</span> a subject with an eGFR of 45 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> is at double the risk of acute kidney injury after major surgery than one with a GFR of &#62;60 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;7 3m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#46; The absolute risk &#8211;though greater&#8211; is still very small&#46; This is not a justification for labelling the subject at risk as having a disease<span class="elsevierStyleSup">19</span>&#46; The staging system is being used to predict risk of a wide variety of illnesses including pneumonia&#44; hospitalisation and fractures and the relationship being used to justify the label &#171;disease&#187;&#46; Subjects with co-morbidity are at risk of adverse events and have lower eGFRs and therefore worse stages of CKD&#46; These associations are therefore a result of &#171;reverse causality&#187; rather than CKD directly causing the poor outcome&#46; In contrast&#44; staging of a disease is about the prognosis of that disease and is usually ordinal and multi-dimensional and determines subsequent treatment&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">The design of the system</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">It is strange that the staging system makes no reference to the cause of CKD&#46; Cancer staging systems are specific to the tumour site and the implications of the different stages have very different implications based on the type of cancer concerned &#40;e&#46;g&#46; some metastatic cancers are treatable whereas others currently have no therapeutic options&#41;&#46; In this manner&#44; the CKD &#171;staging&#187; system is more akin to the grade of a tumour &#40;i&#46;e&#46; a measure of its degree of dysplasia&#41; which is only one piece of useful information about a tumour &#40;whereas the CKD staging system is being used as a single defining description of the kidney problem&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The underlying diagnosis is obviously critical to the subsequent management of the kidney problem&#46; Although some treatments are universal &#40;e&#46;g&#46; strict blood pressure control&#41;&#44; others &#40;e&#46;g&#46; immunosuppression&#41; are only useful patients with specific disorders diagnosed by renal biopsy e&#46;g&#46; membranous nephropathy or systemic lupus erythematosus&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">The normal range of GFR is wrong</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">For a schema that is so rigidly dependent on GFR it is extraordinary that the normal range is held to be &#62;90 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> across all age ranges and 60-89 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> is considered &#171;reduced&#187;&#46; This conflicts with measured GFRs in kidney donors and ignores the observed reduction in GFR with age<span class="elsevierStyleSup">24</span>&#46; The rigidity also ignores the biological variation between individuals and the fact that GFR is not constant in an individual&#46; The change in GFR after a high protein meal&#44; in pregnancy and after kidney donation demonstrate clearly that humans have reserve and gear their GFR to their needs&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The problem has been aggravated by the imprecision and bias of eGFR at the upper ranges and has caused confusion especially when it was realised&#44; after eGFR was rolled out&#44; that the method of creatinine measurement was rather important&#46; Quite small differences had huge effects on eGFRs and therefore on estimates of the prevalence of CKD&#46; We are now being offered the CKD-EPI equation which reduces the bias of the estimates but does not improve precision very much compared to the eGFR &#40;MDRD&#41; equation<span class="elsevierStyleSup">25</span>&#46; We may yet move on to combine the creatinine-based equations &#40;CKD-EPI and MDRD&#41; with cystatin C to improve specificity&#44; but cystatin C may not be much superior to creatinine<span class="elsevierStyleSup">26</span>&#46; It is not surprising that colleagues in primary care are confused and irritated&#46; Having informed patients they have CKD they now have to say that a different method of evaluating the same blood test reveals the original diagnosis to have been wrong&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">It does not include proteinuria in stages 3-5</span></span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The importance of proteinuria&#44; especially macro-proteinuria &#40;overt proteinuria&#41;&#44; in informing prognosis has emerged strongly from recent studies<span class="elsevierStyleSup">22</span>&#46; Indeed proteinuria is a worse prognostic factor than reduced GFR alone and there is synergy between them&#46; Proteinuria &#40;albuminuria&#41; has a continuous positive association with risk&#44; while eGFR in non-linearly related to risk of adverse outcomes&#46; It will therefore be impossible to stage kidney disease 1-5 in a unidimensional manner with two different variables&#46; This problem is neatly illustrated in the PREVEND Study which showed that normo-albuminuric CKD stage 3 had a better prognosis than stage 1 with micro-albuminuria<span class="elsevierStyleSup">27</span>&#46; A worse stage should not have a better prognosis&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">It is not calibrated for age</span></span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Using an absolute threshold level of eGFR &#40;i&#46;e&#46; &#60;60 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#41; alone&#160;to diagnose CKD &#40;stage 3&#41; without any modification for the effects of normal aging cannot&#44; in our estimation&#44; be justified<span class="elsevierStyleSup">28</span>&#46;&#160;This is the main reason why &#171;CKD&#187; is so common in the elderly&#46; Cross-sectional studies of eGFR with aging have uniformly and consistently shown a systematic decline in eGFR &#40;and measured GFR&#41; with aging &#40;averaging about 7-10 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> per decade&#44; beginning after age 30-40 years&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">24</span>&#46; Longitudinal studies in the same subjects over extended periods of time are sparse and suggested that such declines in eGFR are the general rule<span class="elsevierStyleSup">29</span>&#46; Any evidence that such a modest decline in eGFR associated with normal aging in the absence of any structural disease or proteinuria confers any survival disadvantage has not yet appeared&#46;&#160; No prospective trials designed to curtail the age-associated decline in eGFR in order to determine an effect on outcome have been conducted&#46; The decline in eGFR with aging is not connected to elevation in blood pressure nor to underlying renal morphology&#46;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">30&#44;31</span>&#160; To arbitrarily select a single absolute threshold of eGFR &#40;one that is 50&#37; of a level in a 20 year old adult&#41; to define CKD is simply inappropriate and incorrect&#46; For example an eGFR of 50 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> has radically different implications in a 25 year old man &#40;unequivocally abnormal for age&#41; and a 75 year old female &#40;within the normal range for age&#41;&#44; leading some to call for age- &#40;and gender-&#41; specific eGFR values<span class="elsevierStyleSup">32</span><span class="elsevierStyleInf">&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Micro-albuminuria alone is diagnostic of CKD</span></span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">It is noteworthy that the prevalence of Stage 1 and 2 CKD is largely determined by the presence of microalbuminuria&#160; &#40;urinary albumin to creatinine ratio of 3 &#8211; 30 mg&#47;mmol&#41;&#46;&#160; In fact&#44; according to the often quoted NHANES study&#44; over 90&#37; of subjects with stages 1 and 2 CKD respectively had only microalbuminuria as the diagnostic criterion<span class="elsevierStyleSup">6</span>&#46;&#160;Microalbuminuria is well known to by a very dynamic condition influenced by non-specific events such as fever&#44; exercise&#44; obesity&#44; ageing&#44; medications&#44; remote infection and inflammation&#46; This was elegantly demonstrated in a subsample of the NHANES dataset in which only 50&#37; of people with eGFR &#62;90 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> and microalbuminuria at their first visit had persistent microalbuminuria at a follow-up visit about two weeks later<span class="elsevierStyleSup">5</span><span class="elsevierStyleInf">&#46;</span>&#160; Elevated urinary excretion rates of albumin are strongly associated with cardiovascular disease perhaps because atheromatous plaques engender an inflammatory state or because of systemic endothelial dysfunction<span class="elsevierStyleSup">33</span><span class="elsevierStyleInf">&#46;</span><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#160;</span>One might question whether microalbuminuria alone without any other manifestation of <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">kidney</span> damage should qualify as a diagnostic criterion for CKD&#46;&#160; Microalbuminuria may not even be a very reliable predictor of progression of kidney disease in diabetes<span class="elsevierStyleSup">34</span><span class="elsevierStyleInf">&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">PROPOSALS FOR REDESIGN OF THE CONCEPT</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Nephrologists and others have responded to these defects and proposed alternatives&#46;<span class="elsevierStyleBold">&#160;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">UK National Institute for Clinical Excellence &#40;NICE&#41;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The key changes in the NICE construct from KDOQI are the requirement for macroproteinuria &#40;overt proteinuria&#41; in CKD stages 1 and 2 &#40;microalbuminuria is disqualified as a sole indicator of CKD&#41;&#44; the splitting of CKD stage 3 into an A and B substage at an eGFR of 45 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#44; and the addition of the suffix P &#43; or&#160; P &#8211; to indicate the presence or absence of overt proteinuria&#46; This is a significant advance but still a faulty compromise&#46; It ignores the fact that eGFR cannot accurately predict true GFR in the range 60 &#8211; 120 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> and so there is no real purpose in subdividing patients regarded as having normal renal function &#40;which many do not&#41; who have other evidence of CKD into two separate stages&#46; CKD stages 1 and 2 are in reality inseparable&#46; The CKD stage 3 A and B distinction in part acknowledges that older subjects with eGFRs of 45 &#8211; 59 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> &#40;especially if they have no abnormal proteinuria&#41; are not at excess risk of renal failure&#44; complications or cardiovascular events<span class="elsevierStyleSup">27</span>&#46; However&#44; this leaves subjects without any disease with a label of CKD stage 3A &#40;half way to the end-point stage 5&#41; which is a very unsatisfactory situation from a patients perspective&#46; Sadly&#44; even these sensible modifications have not been widely adopted in clinical practice or in community screening proposals&#46;<span class="elsevierStyleBold">&#160;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Kaiser Permanente</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Rutkowski <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">et al</span>&#46; &#8220;departed&#8221; from the KDOQI system by requiring macroproteinuria for stages 1&#44; 2 and 3 and adjusting GFR for those falling into stage 3 by adding half of the subject&#8217;s age &#40;up to 85 years&#41; to the GFR<span class="elsevierStyleSup">35</span><span class="elsevierStyleInf">&#46;</span> Using these stiffer requirements for diagnosing CKD they found the prevalence of CKD in the population for which this HMO was responsible of&#160; 0&#46;1&#37;&#44; 0&#46;2&#37;&#44; 1&#46;7&#37;&#44; 0&#46;5&#37; and 0&#46;01&#37; &#40;for stages 1 to 5 &#91;not on RRT&#93; respectively&#41;&#46; These are credible estimates for nephrologists and are one-fifth the values quoted by NHANES using the KDOQI criteria<span class="elsevierStyleSup">6</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">&#160;&#46; </span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">The CARI Guidelines</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The Caring for Australians with Renal Impairment &#40;CARI&#41; guidelines &#40;currently under final development&#41; diagnose CKD by the presence of either kidney damage &#40;proteinuria&#44; haematuria or structural abnormalities&#41; or an eGFR &#60;60 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> and suggest that an underlying cause is then sought&#46; They recommend that kidney disease is staged by eGFR &#40;with stage 3 split into 3A and 3B as NICE above&#41; and albuminuria &#40;normal&#44; micro- and macro-albuminuria&#41; simultaneously&#46; However&#44; these guidelines acknowledge that in people aged over 70 years with a stable eGFR &#62;45 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> and albuminuria in the normal range&#44; the reduced eGFR may be consistent with physiological age-related GFR decline&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Winearls and Glassock</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">We have proposed a system that requires that the subject have specific persisting&#44; irreversible pathology of the kidneys &#40;inferred from abnormal urine deposit&#44; macro-proteinuria&#44; abnormal kidney imaging or histology&#41; and that the GFR be referenced to percentiles for age&#44; gender and ethnicity4&#46; &#160;Additionally &#160;the suffix P&#43; or P- should be used denoting whether the renal function is deteriorating &#40;e&#46;g&#46; at &#62;3 mL&#47;min &#47;1&#46;73m2&#47;year&#41;&#46; If the same system was to be used for renal transplant recipients the suffix T could be used&#46;</p><ul><li>Stage 1 CKD&#58; the presence of kidney injury but an eGFR within the upper 95&#37; of the age-specific range&#46;</li><li>Stage 2 CKD&#58; the presence of kidney injury with an eGFR&#160; below the 5th centile for age but &#62;30 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> and no evidence of complications of reduced kidney function &#40;i&#46;e&#46; anaemia attributable to CKD or mineral-bone disorder&#41;&#46;</li><li>Stage 3 CKD&#58; an eGFR below 5th centile for age with complications or an eGFR &#60;30 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> which is unequivocally abnormal in all age groups&#46; Kidney injury could be inferred&#46;</li><li>Stage 4 CKD&#58; an eGFR of &#60;15 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> which is generally accepted as the point at which there is a significant risk to the health and life of the patient&#46;</li><li>Stage 5 CKD&#58; patients receiving renal replacement treatment by dialysis&#46;</li></ul><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Patients with an eGFR &#62;30 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> but less than the 5th centile for age without any evidence of structural renal disease or complications could be described as having isolated &#8220;reduced &#40;kidney&#41; function of uncertain significance&#8221; or ReFUS&#46; Like patients with monoclonal gammopathy of uncertain significant &#40;MGUS&#41; who are followed to ensure timely diagnosis of myeloma&#44; such patients should be followed &#40;in primary care&#41; to ensure they do not subsequently develop &#8220;true&#8221; CKD&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">KDIGO &#40;2009&#41;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">At the Kidney Disease&#58; Improving Global Outcomes &#40;KDIGO&#41; Controversies Conference held in London in October 2009 an extensive meta-analysis of numerous studies examining prognosis of CKD recognised the importance of proteinuria&#44; and the underlying diagnosis as well as GFR&#46; The &#8220;grey area&#8221; remained CKD stage 3 especially the upper half of its range &#40;45 &#8211; 59 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#41;&#46; There did not appear to be a clear disadvantage for older subjects &#40;&#62;65 years&#41; in being in this category if there was no proteinuria&#46; A descriptive system was proposed&#59; patients would be classified by&#58;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">1&#46;&#160;&#160;&#160; Diagnosis &#40;if known&#41;&#59;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">2&#46;&#160;&#160;&#160; eGFR stages&#160; 1 &#8211; 5 with stage 3 being subdivided at the 45 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> point into stages 3A and 3B &#40;similar to NICE and CARI&#44; above&#41;&#59;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">3&#46;&#160;&#160;&#160; Albuminuria&#58; A0 &#40;none&#41;&#44; A1 &#40;microalbuminuria&#41; and A2 &#40;macroalbuminuria&#41; using the spot first morning void urinary albumin to creatinine ratio as the standard of reference</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The issue of age calibration of GFR was unresolved and no decision was reached as to what to do with stage 3A in older subjects was reached&#46; This will be essential as they comprise most of CKD in the elderly&#46;&#160; The issue of whether isolated &#40;persistent&#41; microalbuminuria is indicative of chronic kidney disease was hotly debated without any satisfactory consensus&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">CONCLUSIONS</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The nephrology community needs to insist that the architects of a new system for classifying CKD develop it in a transparent manner&#44; accommodate legitimate criticism and provide an accurate&#44; useful approach to the diagnosis&#44; classification&#44; staging and risk stratification of CKD&#46;&#160; The stratification of risk of adverse events &#40;death&#44; ESRD&#44; acute kidney injury and CV disease&#41; should be separate from the requirements for diagnosis&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The application and pitfalls of the new system at the &#8220;bedside&#8221; should be clearly articulated&#46;&#160; The needs of public health authorities and epidemiologists to identify CKD in terms of incidence and prevalence should be considered but not relegate the need for a clinical tool to identity bona fide CKD and its attendant risks to inferior status&#46;&#160; Increasing awareness of CKD is a logical by-product of a classification system but mislabelling large segments of a relatively healthy population as diseased based on innocuous laboratory findings combined with an overly rigid diagnosis and staging system should be avoided&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><a href="grande&#47;10501&#95;108&#95;6117&#95;en&#95;10501&#95;t1&#46;jpg" class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs"><img src="10501_108_6117_en_10501_t1.jpg" alt="Stages of chronic kidney disease"></img></a></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Table 1&#46; Stages of chronic kidney disease</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><a href="grande&#47;10501&#95;108&#95;6118&#95;en&#95;10501&#95;f1&#95;copy1&#46;jpg" class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs"><img src="10501_108_6118_en_10501_f1_copy1.jpg" alt="RRT incidence rates in the countries of the United Kingdom 1990-2008 "></img></a></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Figure 1&#46; RRT incidence rates in the countries of the United Kingdom 1990-2008 </p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><a href="grande&#47;10501&#95;108&#95;6119&#95;en&#95;10501&#95;f2&#46;jpg" class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs"><img src="10501_108_6119_en_10501_f2.jpg" alt="Referrals to the Oxford Kidney Unit between 2000 and 2008 according to the time between presentation to the unit and start date of RRT&#46; Only 4&#37; of referrals were avoidable late referrals"></img></a></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Figure 2&#46; Referrals to the Oxford Kidney Unit between 2000 and 2008 according to the time between presentation to the unit and start date of RRT&#46; Only 4&#37; of referrals were avoidable late referrals</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><a href="grande&#47;10501&#95;108&#95;6120&#95;en&#95;10501&#95;f3&#46;jpg" class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs"><img src="10501_108_6120_en_10501_f3.jpg" alt="Prevalence of metabolic complications according to GFR"></img></a></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Figure 3&#46; Prevalence of metabolic complications according to GFR</p>"
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CKD Staging-evolution not revolution
C.G.. Winearlsa, R.. Haynesa, R.. Glassockb
a Oxford Kidney Unit, Churchill Hospital, Headington, Oxford, UK,
b David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, USA,
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chronic renal failure&#44; chronic renal insufficiency&#44; chronic renal impairment&#44; pre-uraemia and even Bright&#8217;s disease before renal biopsy&#46; Primary care physicians were largely uninformed about renal disease and na&#239;ve in their interpretation of serum creatinine measurements so they left the problem to the small number of specialists in renal units&#46; Because renal disease is relatively silent in its early stages&#44; diagnosis was often delayed and potential opportunities to prevent end-stage renal failure and treat its complications were lost&#46; The Kidney Disease Outcomes Quality Initiative &#40;KDOQI&#41; produced its seminal work in 2002 describing a definition and a staging system &#40;table 1&#41; using a metric&#44; estimated GFR &#40;eGFR&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span>&#46; This metric was first described in 1999<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#44; but used for several prior decades in another form&#44; estimated creatinine clearance &#40;eCcr&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">3</span>&#46; Both estimates relied on equations using serum creatinine concentrations&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">This transformation was warmly welcomed and widely adopted&#46; It promoted awareness&#44; research and policy initiatives designed to contain the problem of CKD&#46; All this was laudable but the &#171;big idea&#187; has passed a &#171;tipping point&#187; and needs to be re-evaluated and refined<span class="elsevierStyleSup">4</span>&#46; It has become a &#171;brand&#187; with slogans and references to frightening &#40;but non-existent&#41; epidemics and tsunamis&#44; competing for prominence with many other health issues such as cancer&#44; obesity&#44; depression and diabetes all stridently demanding attention and funding because 1 in 10 or 1 in 5 or 1 in 3 of our citizens was or was destined to suffer from a condition which was avoidable or treatable&#46; Nephrology opened its bidding at 1 in 10 and has raised it to 1 in 7 US citizens having CKD<span class="elsevierStyleSup">5&#44;6</span>&#46; It has been exploited commercially and medicalised large numbers of older citizens who have nothing to fear from a reduced eGFR&#46; It is now time to pause&#44; examine the relevant facts beyond the &#171;hype&#187; and give nephrology and public health more precise and useful tools&#46; It is a &#171;given&#187; that good system design should solve problems without creating new ones&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">THE COMMON MISCONCEPTIONS</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">There is an epidemic of CKD</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The number of patients on RRT is indeed rising but there are good reasons for this other than an increased incidence of pre-RRT CKD in the population&#46; Indeed the annual incidence of new RRT patients is plateauing in the developed world&#44; for example the United Kingdom &#40;figure 1&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span>&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Demographics are changing</span></span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The proportion of older people is increasing&#46; In 1971 16&#37; of the British population was over 65 years old&#59; in 2004 the proportion had increased to over 18&#37;&#46; As ESRD is largely a disease of old age&#44; the ageing population brings with it an increase in the number of people with ESRD&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Access to RRT is improving</span></span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">When RRT &#40;specifically dialysis&#41; was first introduced the selection criteria were strict and it was essentially &#171;rationed&#187;&#46; Over the past few decades previous &#171;contraindications&#187; to RRT &#40;e&#46;g&#46; diabetes or older age&#41; have been abolished in high-income countries and consequently more people are eligible for RRT&#46; One consequence of this is an increase in the burden of co-morbidity in the RRT population<span class="elsevierStyleSup">8</span>&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Outcomes for RRT patients are improving</span></span><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">&#160;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">There has been a steady improvement in the survival of patients in high-income countries on RRT<span class="elsevierStyleSup">9-11</span>&#46; This has been in excess of the improvement in life expectancy in the general population&#44; although the reason for such improvement is undoubtedly multifactorial<span class="elsevierStyleSup">12</span>&#46; This increased survival increases the size of the prevalent RRT population&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Dialysis is being started earlier</span></span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">In the UK&#160; the mean eGFR at start has increased from ~ 6 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> to 8&#46;5 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> over the last ten years<span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span>&#46; Increased availability of RRT and increasing comorbidity of the RRT population have both contributed to this trend&#44; as has a desire to avoid uraemic complications&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">The proportion of CKD patients who progress to treated ESRD is extremely small</span></span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">In the UK the ratio of prevalent CKD&#58;treated ESRD is 1&#58;100&#160;and to incident treated ESRD is 1&#58;1&#44;000&#46; It is worth noting that the prevalence of CKD using the current definitions is similar in diverse populations but the incidence of treated ESRD is not&#46; This implies that there are populations in whom the risk of progressing is much higher&#46; The USA is a good example&#58; the incidence of treated ESRD is 2-2&#46;5 times that of most European countries which report a similar prevalence of &#171;CKD&#187;&#46; The problem of CKD as defined is therefore not primarily about ESRD&#46; There has to be a better way of identifying subjects at risk of needing treatment for ESRD&#58; trawling by eGFR is using too fine a net&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">There is nevertheless no room for complacency&#46; ESRD limits length and quality of life and its treatment is expensive so attempts to delay or prevent it should be made&#46; There may well be a major problem in the future if the prevalence of diabetes continues to rise &#40;in combination with the ageing population&#41; and renal complications are not prevented&#44; but this has not yet been observed&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">The construct will reduce late referral of ESRD patients</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Late referral of patients to renal services for RRT is defined as contact less than 90 days before RRT is needed&#46;&#160; These patients have worse outcomes<span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span>&#46; They cannot consider and choose their modality&#44; are usually started on haemodialysis via a central catheter&#44; take longer to establish on treatment&#44; spend longer in hospital and have more advanced complications of renal failure&#46; They have a higher mortality than those referred earlier but are more often in high risk groups with much co-morbidity&#46;&#160; The commonly quoted estimates are that around one quarter of new starters are &#171;late referrals&#187;&#46; Recently Udayaraj et al&#46; audited this in Oxford<span class="elsevierStyleSup">14</span>&#46; It emerged that only 4&#37; of new starters were avoidable late referrals &#40;figure 2&#41;&#46; The remainder had acute presentations of unpredictable disorders that cause irreversible renal failure or were migrants or refugees who were not in the NHS system previously&#46; Moreover the true late referrals should have been identified from their abnormal serum creatinine and known diagnoses&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">The construct identifies patients with treatable complications</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Moranne et al&#46; have surveyed the prevalence of complications of CKD<span class="elsevierStyleSup">15</span> &#40;figure 3&#41;&#46;&#160; It is apparent that complications &#40;which are quite sensitively defined&#41; are infrequent in the early stages of CKD and only become obvious when the GFR is &#60;30 mL&#47;min&#46; Such patients are just as easily identified by their abnormal serum creatinine interpreted in context as by eGFR&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">The CKD construct identifies a separate group of patients at risk of cardiovascular disease requiring treatment</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The commonest cause of death in patients with CKD is cardiovascular disease and the risk of cardiovascular events in inversely proportional to the GFR such that a 20 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> lower eGFR is associated with a 50&#37; 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Until then&#44; the presence of CKD does not alter management due to the lack of therapeutic options&#46; For CKD to be a useful concept&#44; it requires more than an unsurprising association with cardiovascular disease&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">&#160;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">THE FLAWS IN THE CONCEPT</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">CKD is not homogeneous</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">CKD is presented as an homogeneous syndrome of progressive renal injury and functional impairment causing an increase risk of premature death&#44; adverse cardiovascular events&#44; complications of kidney failure and end-stage renal failure all in proportion to the GFR&#46; Curiously for a continuum&#44; the stages are divided by &#171;bins&#187; of GFR&#58; &#62;90&#59; 60-89&#59; 30-59&#59; 15-29 and &#60;15&#46;&#160;These subdivisions are arbitrary and are not predictive of consequences&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">It ignores the context of the kidney functional impairment&#44; 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To describe such patients as having chronic kidney disease is to put all the emphasis on one organ&#46; It is no surprise that these patients die of their vascular disease and not of kidney failure for they are more likely to be diabetic&#44; hypertensive&#44; suffer heart failure and have had strokes and myocardial infarcts<span class="elsevierStyleSup">22</span>&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">The purpose of the system</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">It claims to stage kidney disease but it only divides GFRs into &#171;bins&#187;&#46;&#160; It is used clinically in individual patients and in populations as a risk stratification tool&#46; Disease staging and risk stratification should be separated&#44; have different end points and different purposes&#46; For example<span class="elsevierStyleSup">23</span> a subject with an eGFR of 45 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> is at double the risk of acute kidney injury after major surgery than one with a GFR of &#62;60 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;7 3m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#46; The absolute risk &#8211;though greater&#8211; is still very small&#46; This is not a justification for labelling the subject at risk as having a disease<span class="elsevierStyleSup">19</span>&#46; The staging system is being used to predict risk of a wide variety of illnesses including pneumonia&#44; hospitalisation and fractures and the relationship being used to justify the label &#171;disease&#187;&#46; Subjects with co-morbidity are at risk of adverse events and have lower eGFRs and therefore worse stages of CKD&#46; These associations are therefore a result of &#171;reverse causality&#187; rather than CKD directly causing the poor outcome&#46; In contrast&#44; staging of a disease is about the prognosis of that disease and is usually ordinal and multi-dimensional and determines subsequent treatment&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">The design of the system</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">It is strange that the staging system makes no reference to the cause of CKD&#46; Cancer staging systems are specific to the tumour site and the implications of the different stages have very different implications based on the type of cancer concerned &#40;e&#46;g&#46; some metastatic cancers are treatable whereas others currently have no therapeutic options&#41;&#46; In this manner&#44; the CKD &#171;staging&#187; system is more akin to the grade of a tumour &#40;i&#46;e&#46; a measure of its degree of dysplasia&#41; which is only one piece of useful information about a tumour &#40;whereas the CKD staging system is being used as a single defining description of the kidney problem&#41;&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The underlying diagnosis is obviously critical to the subsequent management of the kidney problem&#46; Although some treatments are universal &#40;e&#46;g&#46; strict blood pressure control&#41;&#44; others &#40;e&#46;g&#46; immunosuppression&#41; are only useful patients with specific disorders diagnosed by renal biopsy e&#46;g&#46; membranous nephropathy or systemic lupus erythematosus&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">The normal range of GFR is wrong</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">For a schema that is so rigidly dependent on GFR it is extraordinary that the normal range is held to be &#62;90 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> across all age ranges and 60-89 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> is considered &#171;reduced&#187;&#46; This conflicts with measured GFRs in kidney donors and ignores the observed reduction in GFR with age<span class="elsevierStyleSup">24</span>&#46; The rigidity also ignores the biological variation between individuals and the fact that GFR is not constant in an individual&#46; The change in GFR after a high protein meal&#44; in pregnancy and after kidney donation demonstrate clearly that humans have reserve and gear their GFR to their needs&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The problem has been aggravated by the imprecision and bias of eGFR at the upper ranges and has caused confusion especially when it was realised&#44; after eGFR was rolled out&#44; that the method of creatinine measurement was rather important&#46; Quite small differences had huge effects on eGFRs and therefore on estimates of the prevalence of CKD&#46; We are now being offered the CKD-EPI equation which reduces the bias of the estimates but does not improve precision very much compared to the eGFR &#40;MDRD&#41; equation<span class="elsevierStyleSup">25</span>&#46; We may yet move on to combine the creatinine-based equations &#40;CKD-EPI and MDRD&#41; with cystatin C to improve specificity&#44; but cystatin C may not be much superior to creatinine<span class="elsevierStyleSup">26</span>&#46; It is not surprising that colleagues in primary care are confused and irritated&#46; Having informed patients they have CKD they now have to say that a different method of evaluating the same blood test reveals the original diagnosis to have been wrong&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">It does not include proteinuria in stages 3-5</span></span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The importance of proteinuria&#44; especially macro-proteinuria &#40;overt proteinuria&#41;&#44; in informing prognosis has emerged strongly from recent studies<span class="elsevierStyleSup">22</span>&#46; Indeed proteinuria is a worse prognostic factor than reduced GFR alone and there is synergy between them&#46; Proteinuria &#40;albuminuria&#41; has a continuous positive association with risk&#44; while eGFR in non-linearly related to risk of adverse outcomes&#46; It will therefore be impossible to stage kidney disease 1-5 in a unidimensional manner with two different variables&#46; This problem is neatly illustrated in the PREVEND Study which showed that normo-albuminuric CKD stage 3 had a better prognosis than stage 1 with micro-albuminuria<span class="elsevierStyleSup">27</span>&#46; A worse stage should not have a better prognosis&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">It is not calibrated for age</span></span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Using an absolute threshold level of eGFR &#40;i&#46;e&#46; &#60;60 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#41; alone&#160;to diagnose CKD &#40;stage 3&#41; without any modification for the effects of normal aging cannot&#44; in our estimation&#44; be justified<span class="elsevierStyleSup">28</span>&#46;&#160;This is the main reason why &#171;CKD&#187; is so common in the elderly&#46; Cross-sectional studies of eGFR with aging have uniformly and consistently shown a systematic decline in eGFR &#40;and measured GFR&#41; with aging &#40;averaging about 7-10 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> per decade&#44; beginning after age 30-40 years&#41;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">24</span>&#46; Longitudinal studies in the same subjects over extended periods of time are sparse and suggested that such declines in eGFR are the general rule<span class="elsevierStyleSup">29</span>&#46; Any evidence that such a modest decline in eGFR associated with normal aging in the absence of any structural disease or proteinuria confers any survival disadvantage has not yet appeared&#46;&#160; No prospective trials designed to curtail the age-associated decline in eGFR in order to determine an effect on outcome have been conducted&#46; The decline in eGFR with aging is not connected to elevation in blood pressure nor to underlying renal morphology&#46;<span class="elsevierStyleSup">30&#44;31</span>&#160; To arbitrarily select a single absolute threshold of eGFR &#40;one that is 50&#37; of a level in a 20 year old adult&#41; to define CKD is simply inappropriate and incorrect&#46; For example an eGFR of 50 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> has radically different implications in a 25 year old man &#40;unequivocally abnormal for age&#41; and a 75 year old female &#40;within the normal range for age&#41;&#44; leading some to call for age- &#40;and gender-&#41; specific eGFR values<span class="elsevierStyleSup">32</span><span class="elsevierStyleInf">&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">Micro-albuminuria alone is diagnostic of CKD</span></span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">It is noteworthy that the prevalence of Stage 1 and 2 CKD is largely determined by the presence of microalbuminuria&#160; &#40;urinary albumin to creatinine ratio of 3 &#8211; 30 mg&#47;mmol&#41;&#46;&#160; In fact&#44; according to the often quoted NHANES study&#44; over 90&#37; of subjects with stages 1 and 2 CKD respectively had only microalbuminuria as the diagnostic criterion<span class="elsevierStyleSup">6</span>&#46;&#160;Microalbuminuria is well known to by a very dynamic condition influenced by non-specific events such as fever&#44; exercise&#44; obesity&#44; ageing&#44; medications&#44; remote infection and inflammation&#46; This was elegantly demonstrated in a subsample of the NHANES dataset in which only 50&#37; of people with eGFR &#62;90 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> and microalbuminuria at their first visit had persistent microalbuminuria at a follow-up visit about two weeks later<span class="elsevierStyleSup">5</span><span class="elsevierStyleInf">&#46;</span>&#160; Elevated urinary excretion rates of albumin are strongly associated with cardiovascular disease perhaps because atheromatous plaques engender an inflammatory state or because of systemic endothelial dysfunction<span class="elsevierStyleSup">33</span><span class="elsevierStyleInf">&#46;</span><span class="elsevierStyleSup">&#160;</span>One might question whether microalbuminuria alone without any other manifestation of <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">kidney</span> damage should qualify as a diagnostic criterion for CKD&#46;&#160; Microalbuminuria may not even be a very reliable predictor of progression of kidney disease in diabetes<span class="elsevierStyleSup">34</span><span class="elsevierStyleInf">&#46;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">PROPOSALS FOR REDESIGN OF THE CONCEPT</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Nephrologists and others have responded to these defects and proposed alternatives&#46;<span class="elsevierStyleBold">&#160;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">UK National Institute for Clinical Excellence &#40;NICE&#41;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The key changes in the NICE construct from KDOQI are the requirement for macroproteinuria &#40;overt proteinuria&#41; in CKD stages 1 and 2 &#40;microalbuminuria is disqualified as a sole indicator of CKD&#41;&#44; the splitting of CKD stage 3 into an A and B substage at an eGFR of 45 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#44; and the addition of the suffix P &#43; or&#160; P &#8211; to indicate the presence or absence of overt proteinuria&#46; This is a significant advance but still a faulty compromise&#46; It ignores the fact that eGFR cannot accurately predict true GFR in the range 60 &#8211; 120 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> and so there is no real purpose in subdividing patients regarded as having normal renal function &#40;which many do not&#41; who have other evidence of CKD into two separate stages&#46; CKD stages 1 and 2 are in reality inseparable&#46; The CKD stage 3 A and B distinction in part acknowledges that older subjects with eGFRs of 45 &#8211; 59 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> &#40;especially if they have no abnormal proteinuria&#41; are not at excess risk of renal failure&#44; complications or cardiovascular events<span class="elsevierStyleSup">27</span>&#46; However&#44; this leaves subjects without any disease with a label of CKD stage 3A &#40;half way to the end-point stage 5&#41; which is a very unsatisfactory situation from a patients perspective&#46; Sadly&#44; even these sensible modifications have not been widely adopted in clinical practice or in community screening proposals&#46;<span class="elsevierStyleBold">&#160;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Kaiser Permanente</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Rutkowski <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">et al</span>&#46; &#8220;departed&#8221; from the KDOQI system by requiring macroproteinuria for stages 1&#44; 2 and 3 and adjusting GFR for those falling into stage 3 by adding half of the subject&#8217;s age &#40;up to 85 years&#41; to the GFR<span class="elsevierStyleSup">35</span><span class="elsevierStyleInf">&#46;</span> Using these stiffer requirements for diagnosing CKD they found the prevalence of CKD in the population for which this HMO was responsible of&#160; 0&#46;1&#37;&#44; 0&#46;2&#37;&#44; 1&#46;7&#37;&#44; 0&#46;5&#37; and 0&#46;01&#37; &#40;for stages 1 to 5 &#91;not on RRT&#93; respectively&#41;&#46; These are credible estimates for nephrologists and are one-fifth the values quoted by NHANES using the KDOQI criteria<span class="elsevierStyleSup">6</span><span class="elsevierStyleBold">&#160;&#46; </span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">The CARI Guidelines</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The Caring for Australians with Renal Impairment &#40;CARI&#41; guidelines &#40;currently under final development&#41; diagnose CKD by the presence of either kidney damage &#40;proteinuria&#44; haematuria or structural abnormalities&#41; or an eGFR &#60;60 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> and suggest that an underlying cause is then sought&#46; They recommend that kidney disease is staged by eGFR &#40;with stage 3 split into 3A and 3B as NICE above&#41; and albuminuria &#40;normal&#44; micro- and macro-albuminuria&#41; simultaneously&#46; However&#44; these guidelines acknowledge that in people aged over 70 years with a stable eGFR &#62;45 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> and albuminuria in the normal range&#44; the reduced eGFR may be consistent with physiological age-related GFR decline&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">Winearls and Glassock</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">We have proposed a system that requires that the subject have specific persisting&#44; irreversible pathology of the kidneys &#40;inferred from abnormal urine deposit&#44; macro-proteinuria&#44; abnormal kidney imaging or histology&#41; and that the GFR be referenced to percentiles for age&#44; gender and ethnicity4&#46; &#160;Additionally &#160;the suffix P&#43; or P- should be used denoting whether the renal function is deteriorating &#40;e&#46;g&#46; at &#62;3 mL&#47;min &#47;1&#46;73m2&#47;year&#41;&#46; If the same system was to be used for renal transplant recipients the suffix T could be used&#46;</p><ul><li>Stage 1 CKD&#58; the presence of kidney injury but an eGFR within the upper 95&#37; of the age-specific range&#46;</li><li>Stage 2 CKD&#58; the presence of kidney injury with an eGFR&#160; below the 5th centile for age but &#62;30 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> and no evidence of complications of reduced kidney function &#40;i&#46;e&#46; anaemia attributable to CKD or mineral-bone disorder&#41;&#46;</li><li>Stage 3 CKD&#58; an eGFR below 5th centile for age with complications or an eGFR &#60;30 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> which is unequivocally abnormal in all age groups&#46; Kidney injury could be inferred&#46;</li><li>Stage 4 CKD&#58; an eGFR of &#60;15 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> which is generally accepted as the point at which there is a significant risk to the health and life of the patient&#46;</li><li>Stage 5 CKD&#58; patients receiving renal replacement treatment by dialysis&#46;</li></ul><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Patients with an eGFR &#62;30 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> but less than the 5th centile for age without any evidence of structural renal disease or complications could be described as having isolated &#8220;reduced &#40;kidney&#41; function of uncertain significance&#8221; or ReFUS&#46; Like patients with monoclonal gammopathy of uncertain significant &#40;MGUS&#41; who are followed to ensure timely diagnosis of myeloma&#44; such patients should be followed &#40;in primary care&#41; to ensure they do not subsequently develop &#8220;true&#8221; CKD&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">KDIGO &#40;2009&#41;</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">At the Kidney Disease&#58; Improving Global Outcomes &#40;KDIGO&#41; Controversies Conference held in London in October 2009 an extensive meta-analysis of numerous studies examining prognosis of CKD recognised the importance of proteinuria&#44; and the underlying diagnosis as well as GFR&#46; The &#8220;grey area&#8221; remained CKD stage 3 especially the upper half of its range &#40;45 &#8211; 59 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span>&#41;&#46; There did not appear to be a clear disadvantage for older subjects &#40;&#62;65 years&#41; in being in this category if there was no proteinuria&#46; A descriptive system was proposed&#59; patients would be classified by&#58;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">1&#46;&#160;&#160;&#160; Diagnosis &#40;if known&#41;&#59;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">2&#46;&#160;&#160;&#160; eGFR stages&#160; 1 &#8211; 5 with stage 3 being subdivided at the 45 mL&#47;min&#47;1&#46;73m<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span> point into stages 3A and 3B &#40;similar to NICE and CARI&#44; above&#41;&#59;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">3&#46;&#160;&#160;&#160; Albuminuria&#58; A0 &#40;none&#41;&#44; A1 &#40;microalbuminuria&#41; and A2 &#40;macroalbuminuria&#41; using the spot first morning void urinary albumin to creatinine ratio as the standard of reference</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The issue of age calibration of GFR was unresolved and no decision was reached as to what to do with stage 3A in older subjects was reached&#46; This will be essential as they comprise most of CKD in the elderly&#46;&#160; The issue of whether isolated &#40;persistent&#41; microalbuminuria is indicative of chronic kidney disease was hotly debated without any satisfactory consensus&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">&#160;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><span class="elsevierStyleBold">CONCLUSIONS</span></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The nephrology community needs to insist that the architects of a new system for classifying CKD develop it in a transparent manner&#44; accommodate legitimate criticism and provide an accurate&#44; useful approach to the diagnosis&#44; classification&#44; staging and risk stratification of CKD&#46;&#160; The stratification of risk of adverse events &#40;death&#44; ESRD&#44; acute kidney injury and CV disease&#41; should be separate from the requirements for diagnosis&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara">The application and pitfalls of the new system at the &#8220;bedside&#8221; should be clearly articulated&#46;&#160; The needs of public health authorities and epidemiologists to identify CKD in terms of incidence and prevalence should be considered but not relegate the need for a clinical tool to identity bona fide CKD and its attendant risks to inferior status&#46;&#160; Increasing awareness of CKD is a logical by-product of a classification system but mislabelling large segments of a relatively healthy population as diseased based on innocuous laboratory findings combined with an overly rigid diagnosis and staging system should be avoided&#46;</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><a href="grande&#47;10501&#95;108&#95;6117&#95;en&#95;10501&#95;t1&#46;jpg" class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs"><img src="10501_108_6117_en_10501_t1.jpg" alt="Stages of chronic kidney disease"></img></a></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Table 1&#46; Stages of chronic kidney disease</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><a href="grande&#47;10501&#95;108&#95;6118&#95;en&#95;10501&#95;f1&#95;copy1&#46;jpg" class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs"><img src="10501_108_6118_en_10501_f1_copy1.jpg" alt="RRT incidence rates in the countries of the United Kingdom 1990-2008 "></img></a></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Figure 1&#46; RRT incidence rates in the countries of the United Kingdom 1990-2008 </p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><a href="grande&#47;10501&#95;108&#95;6119&#95;en&#95;10501&#95;f2&#46;jpg" class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs"><img src="10501_108_6119_en_10501_f2.jpg" alt="Referrals to the Oxford Kidney Unit between 2000 and 2008 according to the time between presentation to the unit and start date of RRT&#46; Only 4&#37; of referrals were avoidable late referrals"></img></a></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Figure 2&#46; Referrals to the Oxford Kidney Unit between 2000 and 2008 according to the time between presentation to the unit and start date of RRT&#46; Only 4&#37; of referrals were avoidable late referrals</p><p class="elsevierStylePara"><a href="grande&#47;10501&#95;108&#95;6120&#95;en&#95;10501&#95;f3&#46;jpg" class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs"><img src="10501_108_6120_en_10501_f3.jpg" alt="Prevalence of metabolic complications according to GFR"></img></a></p><p class="elsevierStylePara">Figure 3&#46; Prevalence of metabolic complications according to GFR</p>"
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Idiomas
Nefrología (English Edition)
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¿Es usted profesional sanitario apto para prescribir o dispensar medicamentos?

Are you a health professional able to prescribe or dispense drugs?